John Sauder weather blog Live

John Sauder, CBC's meteorologist in Manitoba, keeps track of weather moving across the province.

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  • John's Weather Journal October 22

    Today won't be a completely cloudy day in the Re River Valley. There will be a few sunny breaks or 'filtered sunshine" this afternoon. 
    All I see as far as snow is concerned going into the weekend is some occasional flurries but nothing we'll need to shovel.
    Expect a few flurries Friday afternoon and evening and then overnight into Saturday. No significant accumulation there. Then Saturday brings a sun/cloud mix with continued chilly temps over the weekend. Daytime highs both days this weekend will be just below the freezing mark.
    On Sunday, skies are cloudy with occasional flurries. Any snow that falls will likely stick because temps will stay fairly cool right through to the end of the month. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Thursday:  W @ 10  this afternoon. 
    Friday:  Light wind in the morning.  N @ 10 in the afternoon.
    Saturday: NW @ 10/20 in the morning.  NW @ 15/25 in the afternoon.
    Sunday: W @ 10 in the morning.  NW @ 10 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal October 21

    As we expected, snow last night across southern Manitoba. In Winnipeg, totals were between 5 and 7 cms of accumulation. The 7 cms was measured in Island Lakes by @meteo1979. 
    There isn't much left to fall out of the clouds today, but the cloud will stick around for most of the day. I still see some flurries happening to the west between Dauphin and Brandon as of 1pm. 
    Tonight, skies will start to clear so temps drop into the -6 to -7 range. With all of the moisture lying around, expect the formation of patchy fog tonight into Thursday morning. Light winds overnight will contribute to the formation of the fog.  
    The system I was tracking through the northern states on Thursday seems to want to stay out of Canada. All I see as far as snow is concerned going into the weekend is some occasional flurries with mixed sky conditions Friday and Saturday, then cloudy skies with some flurries on Sunday.
    Temps stay several degrees below seasonal highs through that period and beyond. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Wednesday:  W @ 10  this afternoon. 
    Thursday:  Light wind in the morning.  N @ 10 in the afternoon.
    Friday: W @ 10/20 in the morning.  NW @ 20/30 in the afternoon.
    Saturday: W @ 10 in the morning.  NW @ 10 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal October 20

    As of noon, we are already seeing snow falling in the western edge of the province. Areas like Minnedosa and locations in SW Manitoba getting a coating of white as highways slicken up. Here's a look at an interesection in SW MB at noon on Tuesday.
    Intersection of Highways #2 and #83 near Pipestone, MB
    As this low moves west to east today, snow will spread across the south. The timing of this hasn't changed for the Winnipeg area. I still think snow will start between 4 and 6pm and carry on through the evening and overnight. The latest guidance from the new GRAF model lays down 5-6cms in Winnipeg by Wednesday noon. 
    GRAF model suggestion of snow totals up to noon Wednesday
    Cloud will dominate on Wednesday with some leftover flurries on and off through the day. Then there is another snowy system tracking through the northern US states that may affect us on Thursday 
    That system has more snow available but looks like it wants to track a little farther south. I will watch that one carefully because some of the guidance is suggesting another accumulating snow for southern Manitoba. 
    Temperatures stay on the chilly side of normal for the rest of the week and through the weekend. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Tuesday:  SE @ 20/30  this afternoon. 
    Wednesday:  NW @ 10 in the morning.  NW @ 10 in the afternoon.
    Thursday: NE @ 10 in the morning.  NE @ 30/50 in the afternoon.
    Friday: NW @ 20/30 in the morning.  NW @ 20/30 in the afternoon.
  • John's Weather Journal October 19

    Remember the lake effect snow squalls I was talking about on Thursday for the Berens River area? Well, over 35cms has fallen on that section of the province due to the persistent NW winds coming across the north basin of Lake Winnipeg. That situation should improve tonight as winds slacken and shift to the west. Here, south of the lakes, we have seen some lake streamers (lines of light flurries) off of the south basins of both of the big lakes. It's that season and that kind  weather will continue for a while if winds are strong enough and are from a favourable direction. 
    There are also a couple of systems I'm watching that could bring an accumulating snow to the south over the next few days. These are separate from the lake effect systems. The first is a low pressure centre that is rolling through North Dakota and Minnesota on Tuesday late in the day. The northern edge of that one will likely deliver 2-3 cm to the Red River Valley and eastern areas on Tuesday night. 
    The next system is a similar low that has more snow available but may track a little farther south. That one moves across the northern states on Thursday. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Monday:  W @ 10  this afternoon. 
    Tuesday:  SE @ 10 in the morning.  SE @ 20/25 in the afternoon.
    Wednesday: SW @ 10 in the morning.  SW @ 10 in the afternoon.
    Thursday: NE @ 20/30 in the morning.  NE @ 30/50 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal October 15

    Went for a walk this morning. Had a toque and gloves on. Just saying!
    That kind of weather has arrived as we expected. The chilly weather is due to a cold upper level flow behind a stalled low pressure centre over Hudson Bay. That pattern is stuck and won't move along anytime soon. It will continue to feed cold air into southern Manitoba through the weekend and well into next week. Daytime highs will be in the low to mid single digits and overnight lows will be several degrees below zero for at least a week.
    I see the chance for some lake effect flurries this weekend and even some light snow later in the day on Tuesday. 
    In the more immediate future, there is a disturbance to our south Thursday night that could bring an accumulating snow to areas along the international border into Friday morning. Winnipeg and Brandon will be on the northern edge of that band of snow. Otherwise, Friday brings a sun/cloud mix to most of the south and a chilly afternoon high of just 3 degrees for the Red River Valley, slightly cooler temps to the west. 
    In the north, expect a continuation of the same kind of weather. Expect daytime highs to struggle past the freezing mark and occasional flurries or light snow into the weekend. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Thursday:  NW @ 30/40  this afternoon. 
    Friday:  W @ 10 in the morning.  W @ 20/30 in the afternoon.
    Saturday: N @ 10 in the morning.  N @ 25/40 in the afternoon.
    Sunday: W @ 20/40 in the morning.  W @ 25/30 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal October 14

    As I write this at noon Wednesday, skies are already starting to brighten up after this morning's rain. There wasn't much here in the capital, but to the south, up to 10mm fell. There was even some mixing with snow in the southwest section of the province. 
    It'll be another windy afternoon if you can believe it. Expect northwest winds gusting to 50 km/h this afternoon, dropping off to 20 km/h tonight.
    This next part might bother sensitive readers who aren't ready for colder weather just yet.
    Today starts a stretch of rather chilly weather for the entire province. It's all thanks to a cold upper level flow behind a stalled low pressure centre over Hudson Bay. This thing is stuck like a sports car in a snowstorm. It will continue to feed cold air into southern Manitoba through the weekend and well into next week. Daytime highs will be in the low to mid single digits and overnight lows will be several degrees below zero for at least a week. I see the chance for some lake effect flurries this weekend and even some light snow later in the day on Tuesday. 
    Low anchored over Hudson Bay area.
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Wednesday:  NW @ 30/50  this afternoon. 
    Thursday:  W @ 20 in the morning.  NW @ 30/40 in the afternoon.
    Friday: W @ 15 in the morning.  W @ 20/30 in the afternoon.
    Saturday: NW @ 10 in the morning.  NW @ 30/40 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal October 13

    If you feel like it's been windy lately, you are right. Starting Friday last week, 4 out of the last 5 days (including today) have had wind gusts of between 60 and 66 km/h. Local wind gusts have likely been higher that that. Those reports are from measurements at the airport at the top of the hour only. Wednesday will be another windy one in the afternoon. 
    There is a change coming as far as out temps are concerned. An upper level trough is building into the eastern prairies and that means, starting Wednesday, daytime highs will really struggle. I'm forecasting a high of 8 degrees on Wednesday, then 5 degrees on Thursday, even cooler for the weekend. I also bring a few flurries into the conversation on the weekend. 
    Buckle up (or should that be bundle up) - here we go! Here we go into cooler weather that is. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Tuesday:  W @ 40/70  this afternoon. 
    Wednesday:  SE @ 10 in the morning.  NW @ 30/50 in the afternoon.
    Thursday: W @ 15/20 in the morning.  NW @ 30/40 in the afternoon.
    Friday: W @ 15 in the morning.  NW @ 20/25 in the afternoon.
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