John Sauder weather blog Live

John Sauder, CBC's meteorologist in Manitoba, keeps track of weather moving across the province.

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  • John's Weather Journal December 23

    After a very mild weekend, it's a good time to wash the car and get ready for very normal weather over the Christmas break. There really isn't much weather to worry about across southern Manitoba over the next few days. Temps will run several degrees above the seasonal normal both day and night and I don't see much in the way of wind either so driving conditions will be manageable. 
    In the north, it's a different story. Expect snow Monday night from Flin Flin and The Pas across the province through Thompson and Island Lake. That tapers to just a chance of flurries on Tuesday (Christmas Eve) with much less farther north. 
    Back to the south, daytime highs stay in the minus single digits through the rest of the week so it's great weather for getting outside with the family for some fun winter activity. Enjoy.
     
    John's 7-Day Forecast
     
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Friday:  SE @ 15/20 this afternoon.  
    Saturday:  SW @ 10 in the morning.   Light Wind in the afternoon.  
    Sunday:  S @ 20 in the morning.  W @ 15 in the afternoon.
    Monday:  NE @ 10/15 in the morning.  NE @ 10 in the afternoon.
     
     

    John's Weather Journal December 19

    We are still on track for a mild weekend all across southern Manitoba. Temps in Winnipeg Saturday and Sunday should be close to 2 and 3 degrees respectively. We'll also see a fair dose of sunshine this weekend. 
    The north gets some snow tonight, 2-4cm in Flin Flon and Thompson followed by some sun and some cloud on Saturday and temps closer to the seasonal normal between -10 and -14. 
    Into next week and approaching Christmas Day, temps are cooler across the south but still a few degrees warmer than seasonal and I don't see any significant snowfalls for the prairies over the next week. That is good news for those hitting the highways over the holiday season. 
     
    John's 7-Day Forecast
     
     
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Friday:  SE @ 15/20 this afternoon.  
    Saturday:  SW @ 10 in the morning.   Light Wind in the afternoon.  
    Sunday:  S @ 20 in the morning.  W @ 15 in the afternoon.
    Monday:  NE @ 10/15 in the morning.  NE @ 10 in the afternoon.
  • John's Weather Journal December 19

    You can feel the milder air on the doorstep. As we look forward to a milder weekend, we sit at -12 today in Winnipeg with warmer temps to the west. There is a lot of cloud across the south but that will try to clear tonight and on Friday.
    Expect a sunny afternoon on Friday with a high temp of -8 degrees. 
    Saturday is the milder day of the weekend with a high of +2 degrees in the afternoon. Not great for things like outdoor ice or X-country ski trails but it is a short-lived warm up. 
    Into next week and approaching Christmas Day, temps are cooler but still a few degrees warmer than seasonal and I don't see any significant snowfalls for the prairies over the next week. 
     
    John's 7-Day Forecast
     
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Thursday:  NE @ 10/15 this afternoon.  
    Friday:  SE @ 10 in the morning.   SE @ 10/15 in the afternoon.  
    Saturday:  S @ 20/30 in the morning.  S @ 10 in the afternoon.
    Sunday:  S @ 20/25 in the morning.  S @ 10 in the afternoon.
  • John's Weather Journal December 18

    Temps are warming back to seasonal normals across the south today but the wind really needs to relax before we can feel like its warming up. That won't happen until later this afternoon or this evening. 
    Thursday is a similar day temperature-wise and we'll see some sun and some cloud. Expect a high of -11 degrees in Winnipeg and in Brandon. 
    We are tapping into a flow off the Pacific as we head into the weekend so temps will really start to climb. Saturday, there's a shot at 3 or 4 degrees for western parts of southern Manitoba and zero here in the Red River Valley. 
    Expect temps on Sunday to be a degree or two cooler but still well above the seasonal normal. 
    As we close in on Christmas, temps cool off some more but should be closer to seasonal. I see the chance for some snow around Christmas Day. Not all of the forecast models are buying into that one just yet so I'll watch that closely.   
     
    John's 7-Day Forecast
     
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Wednesday:  S @ 20/30 this afternoon.  
    Thursday:  N @ 10/15 in the morning.   NE @ 10/15 in the afternoon.  
    Friday:  S @ 10 in the morning.  S @ 20/25 in the afternoon.
    Saturday:  SW @ 20 in the morning.  Light Wind in the afternoon.
  • John's Weather Journal December 16

    Well, at least the wind is fairly light. This is the coldest day of the week, especially in northern Manitoba. Overnight here in the south, as clouds move in, temps rise into the morning on Wednesday and there is a chance of some light snow early in the day. Much of that snow will be north of Winnipeg through the Interlake and areas farther north. This is a low carrying Pacific moisture through northern Saskatchewan today and into northern Manitoba by Wednesday morning. As that system moves through, winds are getting gusty out of the south so we may see some blowing and drifting on highways early on Wednesday. 
    Clouds will start to break up late in the day as temps rise to -12 in the afternoon (pretty close to the seasonal normal). 
    As we approach the final weekend before Christmas, temps get much milder across the province but especially here in the south. The clean car this week will be a mess by Saturday afternoon. 
    Our weather stays fairly seasonal toward Christmas as well. Great for getting outside for some winter activity with the family. 
     
    John's 7-Day Forecast
     
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Tuesday:  NW @ 10 this afternoon.  
    Wednesday:  S @ 30/50 in the morning.   S @ 20/30 in the afternoon.  
    Thursday:  NE @ 10 in the morning.  E @ 15 in the afternoon.
    Friday:  W @ 10 in the morning.  W @ 10 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal December 16

    Temps over the next few days will be up and down like Santa's Reindeer. Expect some light flurries late in the day on Monday followed by clearing overnight and an arctic high building in. In the winter, that usually means cold weather, and this time is no different. 
    Lows into Tuesday morning will be close to -23 or -24. Highs won't be much warmer in the afternoon, in Winnipeg, -22. High pressure is also bringing us a sunny day on Tuesday.
    Wednesday, we'll see a band of snow moving through the in the morning as another low passes, then a mostly cloudy afternoon with some clearing in the evening. 
    The last part of the work week and into the weekend will bring generally cloudy skies but temps start to make a solid rebound.
    Daytime highs will be closer to seasonal starting Thursday. The approaching weekend does look a lot milder than the one we just experienced. 
     
    John's 7-Day Forecast
     
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Monday:  SW @ 15/20 this afternoon.  
    Tuesday:  NW @ 15/20 in the morning.   NW @ 10 in the afternoon.  
    Wednesday:  S @ 25/40 in the morning.  S @ 20/30 in the afternoon.
    Thursday:  NE @ 10 in the morning.  E @ 15/20 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal December 13

    As of 1pm, 5cm of snow is on the ground in Charleswood. We'll likely get a couple more before the light snow tapers to flurries. 
    As this system moves into Ontario tonight, winds get stronger from the north. That will lead to localized blowing snow this evening. I think gusts will reach at least 40 km/h so I'm not expecting a blowing snow advisory to be issued for southern Manitoba by Environment Canada, but we'll likely see reductions in visibility in open areas. 
    Skies will try to clear into Saturday morning as temps stay in the -20s through the day. Saturday is the coldest day in the next week or so. Sunday brings the coldest morning low at -27. We could see a few flurries Sunday as well. The cold temps stick around into the first part of next week. 
    In the north, it is very cold. Take Thompson for example, lows are around -38 and highs barely crack the -30 mark through the weekend and into next week. 
     
    Satellite/Radar as of 2pm. Snow tapers to flurries.
     
     
    John's 7-Day Forecast
     
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Friday:  NW @ 25/40 this afternoon.  
    Saturday:  NW @ 15/20 in the morning.   NW @ 10 in the afternoon.  
    Sunday:  S @ 15/20 in the morning.  S @ 20/25 in the afternoon.
    Monday:  W @ 10 in the morning.  SW @ 20/25 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal December 12

    This Thursday morning sunshine won't last into the late afternoon.  Clouds move in through the afternoon followed by some snow overnight. This is a clipper that will drop between 3 and 5 cm of snow by late afternoon Friday. We'll likely get 1-2 cm Thursday night and another 2-3 cm on Friday. 
    Temps get milder through that period with lows around -18 into Friday morning and a high of -11 in the afternoon. Winds also pick up Friday evening so we'll need to be carefully with driving in open areas as north winds gust to 40 km/h in the afternoon and evening. 
    By Saturday, we are back into the deep freeze with a high of just -20 on Saturday afternoon. Lows into Sunday morning are more like -28 degrees.
     
    Futurecast - RPM Model showing the snow in RRV Friday morning
     
     
    John's 7-Day Forecast
     
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Thursday:  E @ 10 this afternoon.  
    Friday:  E @ 10/15 in the morning.   N @ 25/40 in the afternoon.  
    Saturday:  NW @ 15/20 in the morning.  NW @ 10/15 in the afternoon.
    Sunday:  S @ 10/15 in the morning.  S @ 15/25 in the afternoon.
  • John's Weather Journal December 11

    Another sunny but cold day here across the entire province. Here in southern Manitoba, winds are staying in check at about 10 km/h out of the southwest. The farther south you are, the more cloud you'll see later today as a system passes through North Dakota tonight. 
    Thursday starts with sunshine again but clouds move in through the afternoon followed by some snow in the evening. This is a clipper that will drop between 3 and 5 cm of snow Thursday night and Friday morning. We'll likely get 2-3 cm Thursday night and another 1-2 cm on Friday morning. 
    Temps get milder through that period with lows around -18 into Friday morning and a high of -11 in the afternoon. Winds also pick up Friday evening so we'll need to be carefully with driving in open areas as northwest winds gust to 40 km/h in the afternoon and evening. 
    By Saturday, we are back into the deep freeze with a high of just -20 on Saturday afternoon. 
     
    John's 7-Day Forecast
     
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Wednesday:  SW @ 10 this afternoon.  
    Thursday:  E @ 10 in the morning.   SE @ 10 in the afternoon.  
    Friday:  E @ 10/15 in the morning.  NW @ 30/40 in the afternoon.
    Saturday:  NW @ 20/30 in the morning.  NW @ 15/20 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal December 9

    Thankfully, winds were not all that strong this morning. Still, we have an Extreme Cold Warning in effect for the northwest and the southwest portions of the province. A reminder, warning criteria for extreme cold is different (colder) in the north. In the southwest, where there is a warning in place, temperature and wind conditions will be extreme tonight into Wednesday morning. Exposed skin freeze times will be less than 10 minutes. In the northwest, those freeze times are less than 5 minutes. 
    This cold air is extremely dry as well. At this time of year, when we see a warm up, it often means more moisture and perhaps some snow. That's what I'm looking at for Thursday night into Friday morning. Three centimetres seems to be the popular amount among the various forecast models. I'm saying 3 to 5 cm in my forecast. 
    After that low passes to the south, we are back to the cold stuff through the rest of the weekend. 
     
    John's 7-Day Forecast
     
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Tuesday:  NW @ 20/30 this afternoon.  
    Wednesday:  W @ 15/20 in the morning.   SW @ 10 in the afternoon.  
    Thursday:  E @ 10 in the morning.  E @ 10 in the afternoon.
    Friday:  E @ 10/20 in the morning.  N @ 20/30 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal December 9

    Well, we expected it. This cold snap will stay with the eastern prairies for pretty much the rest of the week. Highs are about 10 degrees lower than normal and the coldest morning low temp I have on my forecast sheet is -26 on Wednesday. 
    Winds will pick up Monday evening as we see a few light flurries move through, then Tuesday brings sunshine and cold temps again. 
    There is a little bit of a milder trend toward the end of the week but it's likely accompanied by some snow. 
    Expect snow to start Thursday night and continue through part of Friday dropping 3-5cm on southern Manitoba. 
     
    John's 7-Day Forecast
     
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Monday:  NW @ 10/15 this afternoon.  
    Tuesday:  W @ 10/20 in the morning.   NW @ 20/30 in the afternoon.  
    Wednesday:  W @ 10 in the morning.  S @ 10 in the afternoon.
    Thursday:  NE @ 10 in the morning.  E @ 10 in the afternoon.
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