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John Sauder, CBC's meteorologist in Manitoba, keeps track of weather moving across the province.

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    John's Weather Journal January 18

    If you love sunny skies, you’ll love this weather over the next couple of days. You will need to be dressed for it though. 

    Most of the province is in an Extreme Cold Warning through today and tonight. The frigid temps combined with wind put us in the “10 minutes for frostbite to occur” range.

    In the north, conditions today will give you frostbite on exposed skin in 5 minutes or less.  

    Here in the south, we are looking at nighttime lows close to, or colder than, -30 and daytime highs between -23 and -24 for Friday and Saturday. 

    Some locations in the north on Friday will stay below -30 through the afternoon.

    Sunday will be the milder day of the weekend but the winds pick up in the afternoon, gusting to 40 or 50 km/h by the evening and into Monday morning.  

    There still isn’t a whole lot of snow in my forecast for the southeast. Saturday night will likely bring a couple of centimetres to the southwest. 

    That system will graze the Winnipeg area with a few Sunday morning flurries. 

    Monday will be a milder day and we’ll likely see a few more flurries changing to afternoon snow. 

    John's 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:

    Friday:  NW @ 10  this evening. 

    Saturday:  SW @ 10 in the morning.   Light Wind in the afternoon.  

    Sunday:  E @ 15 in the morning.  SE @ 30/50 in the evening.

    Monday:  S @ 30/40 in the morning.  SE @ 20/30 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal January 17

    If you love sunny skies, you’ll love this weather over the next few days. You will need to be dressed for it tough. 

    Some of the coldest weather of the season so far is right around the corner for southern Manitoba. 

    We are looking at nighttime lows close to, or colder than, -30 and daytime highs between -20 and -24 for the next few days. 

    Thursday brings the sun after a few overnight and morning flurries along with winds out of the northwest at 20 to 25 km/h this afternoon. Expect a high of -18 degrees. 

    Friday will be a beast. Not a lot of wind, and abundant sunshine, but we start the day in the low minus 30s and only get to -24 or so in the afternoon. 

    That kind of weather takes us through Saturday as well with light winds, then there’s a change on Sunday. 

    Sunday will be the milder day of the weekend but the winds pick up in the afternoon, gusting to 40 or 50 km/h. 

    It’ll be hard to choose which day will be more comfy for outside activity this weekend and there may even be some snow on the way. 

    There’s not a lot of certainty between forecast models on the timing of some snow that could arrive as early as Sunday morning. 

    The RPM model brings the snow early on Sunday, the GFS and the GEM models bring the snow closer to Monday and the NAM is timing out for Sunday afternoon. 

    RPM model brings the snow in early Sunday
     

    I should have a better idea on the timing of that possible snow when I write the new forecast on Friday. 

    John's 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:

    Thursday:  NW @ 20  this evening. 

    Friday:  N @ 10 in the morning.   NW @ 10 in the afternoon and evening.  

    Saturday:  S @ 10 in the morning.  E @ 10 in the afternoon.

    Sunday:  SE @ 20/30 in the morning.  SE @ 30/40 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal January 16

    Some of the coldest weather of the season so far is settling into Manitoba and will stick around through the weekend. 

    We are looking at nighttime lows close to, or colder than, -30 and daytime highs between -20 and -24 for several days. 

    Wednesday night won’t be too bad with some cloud cover moving in along a weak trough. Winds will shift to the north and we have a slight chance for a few flurries. Expect a low around -24 south of the lakes. 

    The flurries clear early on Thursday, and so does the cloud cover. Winds out of the northwest at 20 to 25 km/h will make it a cold but sunny afternoon at -19. 

    Friday will be a beast. Not a lot of wind, and abundant sunshine, but we start the day in the low minus 30s and only get to -24 or so in the afternoon. 

    That kind of weather takes us through the weekend as well. 

    John's 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:

    Wednesday:  SE @ 10  this evening. 

    Thursday:  NW @ 15/20 in the morning.   NW @ 20/25 in the afternoon and evening.  

    Friday:  NW @ 10 in the morning.  NW @ 10 in the afternoon.

    Saturday:  S @ 10 in the morning.  Light Wind in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal January 7

    As expected, the snow arrived Sunday in the afternoon to the west and around supper time here in the Red River Valley. Winnipeg picked up between 8 and 13cm. 

    The highest reported amount to the west was Neepawa at 16cm. Generally, southern Manitoba received 12-13cm. 

    Monday is a fairly mild day but the winds will pick up later so a Blowing Snow Advisory is in effect for most of the south with the exception of the forested areas to the east of the Red River Valley. 

    Blowing Snow Tonight and Tuesday
     

    The winds stay fairly strong right though the day on Tuesday so highway driving will remain difficult across most of the south. 

    In the north, we have a blizzard warning in effect for the Hudson Bay coast. Wind wills gust to 70 tonight and visibility is expected to be less than 400 metres at time tonight and Tuesday.

    Once we are behind this gusty cold front, temps will begin to feel more like January. By Wednesday, highs will be right around -16 across the south. 

    The next chance for some light snow is Thursday with flurries in the forecast. 

    7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:

    Monday:  NW @ 40/60  this evening. 

    Tuesday:  NW @ 30/60 in the morning.   NW @ 40/60 in the afternoon and evening.  

    Wednesday:  NW @ 20 in the morning.  NW @ 15/20 in the afternoon.

    Thursday:  SE @ 20/25 in the morning.  SE @ 25/40 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal January 4

    Another mild day is behind us and, as we head into the evening, I see some snow pushing in from the west

    A quicker evening clipper cuts across the Interlake tonight delivering 3-5cm of snow. 

    Winnipeg and the rest of the upper Red River Valley will be on the southern edge of the system so I have flurries in my forecast but not much accumulation here. 

    Saturday clears north to south through the day as temps fall slightly through the afternoon.

    Our next snowmaker happens on Sunday and arrives with some gusty wind. This one reaches the Brandon area in the afternoon and the Red River Valley around supper time. 

    It’s a fairly organized 5-10cm that will be east by Monday morning. Sunday’s temps will be mild again at -5, even milder on Monday.  

    RPM Model Shows the Snow Arriving Sunday Afternoon
     

    Cooler weather follows on Tuesday with temps closer to the seasonal normal for the second half of next week.  

    John's 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:

    Friday:  W @ 10 this afternoon and evening. 

    Saturday:  NW @ 15/20 in the morning.   NW @ 10 in the afternoon and evening.  

    Sunday:  SE @ 20/25 in the morning.  SE @ 30/50 in the afternoon.

    Monday:  SW @ 20 in the morning.  W @ 30/50 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal January 3

    As I write this, we are at 4 degrees downtown and 2 degrees at YWG. A record high today would be based on the airport temp and that record is 5.8 set only 12 years ago. I don’t think we’ll get that warm at the airport. 

    This will be the mildest day in the group. I’m expecting a high of -1 on Friday and then back to around -6 for a high temp on Saturday. (normals are -23 and -13) 

    That’s the weather story across the south. In the northeast, there is a quick moving low that hits the Hudson Bay coast with 2-4cm today. 

    In Northwestern Ontario, the 2-4cm that was in yesterday’s forecast for today isn’t showing up at all.

    Our next best chance for some snow across the south is on Sunday afternoon and evening. It’s a little early to peg down snowfall amounts, but it’s likely near 5cm. 

    That system is followed by another mild -2 on Monday, then cooler weather with temps closer to the seasonal normal starting on Tuesday next week.  

    John's 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:

    Thursday:  SW @ 20/30 this afternoon and evening. 

    Friday:  SW @ 10/15 in the morning.   SW @ 10 in the afternoon and evening.  

    Saturday:  NW @ 20/25 in the morning.  NW @ 10/15 in the afternoon.

    Sunday:  E @ 20 in the morning.  E @ 30/40 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal January 2

    Well, we started the new year with some very cold weather as expected, but the warm up is well underway. 

    This is good news for those who have felt cooped-up in the cold weather but not so great news for winter sports enthusiasts. 

    Temps will continue to rise into this evening and right into Thursday morning. We’ll be at -1 in Winnipeg by 8 a.m. with a high in the afternoon of +1.

    There is a chance of a few flurries or even freezing rain in the early morning but skies clear early on Thursday for a sunny and breezy day. 

    Friday is even milder with a sun/cloud mix and a high of +2.

    There is a bit of a cool down on the weekend but still above seasonal and a chance for some snow later on Sunday. 

    John's 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:

    Wednesday:  S @ 10 this afternoon and evening. 

    Thursday:  SW @ 20/30 in the morning.   SW @ 20/30 in the afternoon and evening.  

    Friday:  S @ 10/15 in the morning.  S @ 15/20 in the afternoon.

    Saturday:  NW @ 20/40 in the morning.  NW @ 10 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal December 28

    Today, we have the sunshine, but we don’t have much heat from the sun. It’s mostly being reflected by the fresh snow on the ground. The good news here in the south is the lack of wind.  

    In the north, we have an extreme cold warning in effect for the northwest and parts of the northeast. Extreme wind chills are expected to return on Friday night. 

    Extreme Cold Warning in Northern Manitoba
     

    Our weather gets interesting as we close in on the end of 2018. 

    We’ll warm up on the weekend and will start to see some snow across the south on Saturday and Sunday. 

    It starts as flurries on Saturday morning, then periods of snow in the afternoon. A second batch arrives on Sunday. 

    Some of guidance is starting to move the brunt of the snow to the south but if the system stays north, we’ll likely see 5-10cm total over the 2 days.  

    Behind that system, as skies clear on Monday, the wind really picks up. Expect poor visibility in blowing snow Sunday night and through the day on Monday. 

    Temps go nowhere on Monday, staying in the -20s. Then, the coldest air of the season so far moves into the south. 

    We likely be in the -30s overnight into New Years Day. The high temp on New years Day is only -22. 

    This overnight low occurs well after midnight
    We stay very cold New Years Day
     

    It’s a short-lived cold snap. The second half of next week warms up significantly.

     

    John's 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:

    Friday:  SW @ 10 this afternoon and evening. 

    Saturday:  S @ 20 in the morning.   S @ 25/30 in the afternoon and evening.  

    Sunday:  N @ 10 in the morning.  N @ 20/30 in the afternoon.

    Monday:  N @ 30/40 in the morning.  NW @ 30/40 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal for December 27

    Winnipeg picked up between 4 and 6 centimetres of snow last night. To the east near Falcon Lake, it was closer to 10cm. 

    The totals in Winnipeg over the last 5 days have been close to 20cm.

    Today will simply be a sunny, windy and cold day. The wind is strong enough to create some blowing and drifting in open areas as well. 

    There isn’t much change in the sky condition for Friday but the temperature will be a lot lower and the wind will be much lighter in the afternoon. 

    Our weather gets interesting as we close in on the end of 2018. 

    We’ll warm up on the weekend and we’ll likely see some more snow across the south by the second half of Sunday and into Monday (New Years Eve).

    Behind that system, as skies clear on Monday, the coldest air of the season so far to kick off 2019. 

    We likely be in the -30s overnight into New Years Day. The high temp on New years Day is only -22. 

    John's 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:

    Thursday:  N @ 30/50 this afternoon and evening. 

    Friday:  NW @ 20/25 in the morning.   W @ 10 in the afternoon and evening.  

    Saturday:  S @ 20/25 in the morning.  S @ 30/40 in the afternoon.

    Sunday:  SW @ 15/20 in the morning.  W @ 10 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal December 21

    As I write this at 12:30pm Friday, we have snow on radar to the west of Portage la Prairie and freezing rain happening in Saskatchewan. 

    Satellite and Radar as of 1pm Friday
     

    There is a special weather statement in effect for the southwest portion of Manitoba for the possibility of freezing rain. None yet. 

    As the day progresses, conditions will deteriorate across the south and west-central portions of the province. 

    A snowfall warning is in effect farther north from Lynn Lake down to Swan River regions. That’s where we could see totals up to 20cm by late Saturday.  

    Snowfall Warning in Red. Special Weather Statement in Grey
     

    Here in the south, I’m expecting 5-7cm tonight into Saturday morning and another 3-5cm on Saturday. Winnipeg should total around 10cm by Saturday evening. 

    Along with the snow, we have a rather gusty wind as well so reduced visibility could be an issue on Manitoba highways on Friday night. 

    This is a huge travel weekend for Manitobans so I’ll be watching this one carefully. The worst driving conditions will likely be Friday night and Saturday morning.  

    I’m planning a Facebook Live on Friday at 1:30pm. Join me on the CBC Manitoba page. I’ll show you the snow I’ve been talking about this week. 

    John's 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Friday:  SE @ 30/40 this afternoon and evening. 

    Saturday:  SE @ 10/15 in the morning.   W @ 30/40 in the afternoon and evening.  

    Sunday:  NW @ 20 in the morning.  NW @ 20/25 in the afternoon.

    Monday:  Light Wind in the morning.  SE @ 10 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal December 20

    Thursday is cooler once again with a sun/cloud mix and a few flurries but no accumulation. Sidewalks have iced up after the quick freeze last night. 

    As the weekend approaches, the chance for an accumulating snow is more certain.

    Friday will be cloudy ahead of a clipper that moves through the central part of Manitoba Friday night and Saturday. The snow from that clipper extends into the south. 

    Most of the forecast guidance is agreeing now on 5-10cm between Friday evening and late Saturday along with a gusty winds on Friday evening. 

    RPM Model Estimating 7cm for Wpg up to Sat Aft.
     

    Lots of Manitobans will be on highways during that time so I’ll be watching this one carefully. The worst driving conditions will likely be Friday night. 

    I’m planning a Facebook Live on Friday at 1:30pm. Join me at www.facebook.com/johnsaudercbc

    John's 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Thursday:  NW @ 10 this evening. 

    Friday:  SE @ 15 in the morning.   SE @ 30/40 in the afternoon and evening.  

    Saturday:  SE @ 10 in the morning.  W @ 20/30 in the afternoon.

    Sunday:  NW @ 15 in the morning.  NW @ 20/25 in the afternoon.

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