John Sauder weather blog Live

John Sauder, CBC's meteorologist in Manitoba, keeps track of weather moving across the province.

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    John's Weather Journal May 23

    We seem to be flip flopping between sunny and rainy days this week. Today we are on the sunny side of the flip. Friday, we flop to rain. 

    Friday’s rain will be a much needed soaker. I’m expecting 10-15mm starting Friday afternoon and continuing on into the evening and overnight period. 

    The northern extent of the rain should be in a line from Dauphin across to Hecla and east from there. 

    Saturday morning, we may have a few left over showers but then a sun/cloud mix in the afternoon and a high of 18. 

    There’s another feature moving through Saturday overnight into Sunday that will produce a few showers but also drop the temps. 

    Sunday’s high is a rather cool 13 degrees with a sun/cloud mix. 

    Monday’s weather is a little uncertain. I have two forecast models leaning toward rain and the Canadian model leaning toward a bright, sunny day. 

    John's 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:

    Thursday:  NE @ 15/20 in the afternoon. 

    Friday:  SE @ 20/25 in the morning.   E @ 20/25 in the afternoon. 

    Saturday:  NW @ 20/25 in the morning.  NW @ 10 in the afternoon.

    Sunday:  NE @ 20/25 in the morning.  NE @ 30 in the afternoon.

    There are a couple of rain events this week, one today and another on Friday. 

    Both are lows coming up from the southwest but today’s is much less of a rain producer for the Red River Valley. 

    Southeast Manitoba will pick up about 5mm, while the Winnipeg area, just 1 to 2mm. Winds will also be rather gusty out of the northeast. 

    Skies clear overnight into Thursday so expect lots of sunshine and highs in the low 20s. 

    The second rain event of the week hits us Friday afternoon and evening. This one is more of a soaker.

    I’m expected 10-15mm in the northern Red River Valley and higher amounts to the southeast. 

    Futurecast 9pm Friday. WET!
     

    We’ll be back to sunshine on Saturday but there’s a chance of more showers Saturday night. 

    John's 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:

    Wednesday:  NE @ 30/50 in the afternoon. 

    Thursday:  N @ 15/20 in the morning.   N @ 10/15 in the afternoon. 

    Friday:  SE @ 20 in the morning.  E @ 30/40 in the afternoon.

    Saturday:  NW @ 15/20 in the morning.  W @ 10 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal May 17

    Friday afternoon is warming up nicely but winds will get stronger as the day progresses. We’ll enjoy lots of sunshine across the south through most of the day. Some cloud tries to creep in late in the day but mostly closer to the international border. 

    I don’t have much in the way of rain scheduled over the next several days, including the long weekend.  

    We certainly could use more rain but all of those long weekend campers are likely happy with the dry forecast. 

    High pressure over northern Manitoba this weekend will keep a passing low (rain, snow, wind, ugly weather) to our south and bring us a persistent northeasterly breeze through the weekend. 

    So, if you hear any complaining about the chilly wind this weekend, remember, the alternative is a chilly rain or snow on Saturday. 

    Holiday Monday will be a very pleasant day across the south with much lighter winds and lots of sunshine. I’m expecting a high of 17 degrees.  

    Our next opportunity for some moisture is later in the day on Wednesday. 

    John's 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:

    Friday:  NE @ 20/30 in the afternoon. 

    Saturday:  NE @ 30/50 in the morning.   NE @ 30/40 in the afternoon. 

    Sunday:  NE @ 30/40 in the morning.  NE @ 30 in the afternoon.

    Monday:  E @ 10 in the morning.  E @ 10 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal May 16

    As expected, a sunny, windy and chilly day today. Thursday’s high is only 13. The normal high is now 20 degrees. 

    Friday will warm up slightly with lots of sunshine across the south through most of the day. Some cloud tries to creep in late in the day. 

    I don’t have much in the way of rain scheduled over the next several days, including the long weekend.  

    The Winnipeg area picked up between 7 and 12mm in Wednesday’s rain event. We certainly could use more but all of those weekend campers are likely happy with the dry forecast. 

    High pressure over northern Manitoba this weekend will keep the passing low to our south and bring us a persistent northeasterly breeze through the weekend. 

    That means cooler than normal weather but it does look now like the rain is out of the picture for southern Manitoba and northwestern Ontario on the long weekend. 

    John's 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:

    Thursday:  N @ 25/30 in the afternoon. 

    Friday:  NE @ 15/20 in the morning.   NE @ 20/30 in the afternoon. 

    Saturday:  NE @ 30/40 in the morning.  NE @ 30/40 in the afternoon.

    Sunday:  NE @ 20/25 in the morning.  NE @ 25/30 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal May 15

    The weather story today is the much needed rain that will cross the southern half of the province this afternoon and tonight. 

    It’s a low pressure system coming out of Saskatchewan today that brings a few showers along the warm front this afternoon along with gusty south winds. 

    This evening, as the cold front passes, there is a chance for more showers and thunderstorms and the winds will be just as strong, but out of the northwest.  

    12 Hour Rainfall Prediction ending at Midnight
     

    I don’t have much in the way of rain scheduled after midnight and skies will clear north to south on Thursday as a chilly north wind continues to blow. 

    Thursday’s high is only 13. The normal high is now 20 degrees. 

    I’m tracking another low forming in the US and headed in this direction for the May long weekend. 

    There is finally agreement between the Canadian and American models on the track of the system. 

    The consensus is now keeping the bulk of the weekend rain to the south of the US border thanks to a strong high pressure centre in northern Manitoba. 

    We’ll still have cloudy and cooler than normal weather but the outlook is a drier one. 

    I’ll keep monitoring the successive model runs and let you all know if you’ll need the tarp or not at the campsite.

    John's 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:

    Wednesday:  S @ 30/50 in the afternoon.  NW @ 30/50 overnight. 

    Thursday:  N @ 30/40 in the morning.   N @ 25/30 in the afternoon. 

    Friday:  NE @ 10/20 in the morning.  NE @ 25/30 in the afternoon.

    Saturday:  NE @ 30/40 in the morning.  NE @ 30/40 in the afternoon.

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