John Sauder weather blog Live

John Sauder, CBC's meteorologist in Manitoba, keeps track of weather moving across the province.

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    John's Weather Journal November 15

    We'll see a few sunny breaks today but the clouds will fill in later and stick around into the weekend. I'm still calling for a milder day on Saturday but there's a catch. We have a slight chance of some freezing rain in the morning hours. The surface temperature needs to be below zero for that to happen and we would also need a warm (above freezing) layer above us. The vertical temperature set up looks favourable, however, the freezing layer near the surface may end up being too deep which would lead to snow or ice pellets instead of freezing rain. Still, something to watch for in the morning on Saturday. Saturday's winds will be strongest in the morning and there is also a chance for wet snow in the evening hours, likely after the Santa Claus Parade is done. 
    We may see a glimpse of sunshine on Sunday but the cloud cover and occasional flurries or snow will dominate the forecast from Saturday through mid next week. 
     
    John's 7-Day Forecast
     
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Friday:  SE @ 20/30 this afternoon.  
    Saturday:  S @ 30/40 in the morning.   S @ 15 in the afternoon.  
    Sunday:  NW @ 20/30 in the morning.  SW @ 10 in the afternoon.
    Monday:  S @ 10 in the morning.  S @ 10 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal November 14
    This next few days will provide a roller coaster ride for temps and for winds. Several weak disturbances cross the region bringing a wind shift it seems every 8 hours and temps that will be seasonal on Thursday (-1), then colder on Friday and then warming again on Saturday. Winds today have shifted to the northwest, but then will go calm tonight, easterly Friday morning, southeasterly Friday afternoon and then back to the northwest by Sunday morning. 
    I have bumped on Saturday high up to 3 degrees. Sounds nice, doesn't it? Well, the temperature alone doesn't tell the whole story. It will be a cloudy day on Saturday with fairly strong winds in the morning hours (lighter later in the day) and some showers mixed with wet snow in the afternoon and evening. 
    We may see a glimpse of sunshine on Sunday and Monday but the cloud will dominate the forecast from Saturday through mid next week. 
     
    John's 7-Day Forecast
     
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Thursday:  NW @ 25/30 this afternoon.  
    Friday:  E @ 10 in the morning.   SE @ 20/30 in the afternoon.  
    Saturday:  S @ 25/40 in the morning.  S @ 10 in the afternoon.
    Sunday:  NW @ 15/20 in the morning.  SW @ 10 in the afternoon.
  • John's Weather Journal November 13

    In the northwesterly flow today, we have seen some flurries off the lakes but just trace amounts. That will come to an end as winds shift again tonight around to the southwest. All week, winds are shifting around the clock. By Thursday afternoon, we are back to a northwest wind, then back to the east and southeast on Friday. All of that is due to small systems passing the region, which is also responsible for the temperature swings over the next few days. 
    By the weekend, we settle into a milder trend that lasts well into next week. Expect melting snow and a filthy car starting this weekend.
    John's 7-Day Forecast
     
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Wednesday:  NW @ 20/30 this afternoon.  
    Thursday:  SW @ 20 in the morning.   NW @ 20 in the afternoon.  
    Friday:  E @ 10 in the morning.  SE @ 20/25 in the afternoon.
    Saturday:  S @ 20/25 in the morning.  SW @ 10/15 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal November 12

    Last week on Thursday, I was forecasting our Tuesday weather to be sunny and windy with a high of -9. On Friday, I changed the high for Tuesday to -8 and stuck with "sunny and windy". That's what I have stuck with for today. Sunny, windy with a high of -8.
    Someone made a comment to me this morning that this cold weather is so unpredictable. Well, I'd like to point out that just because the weather is cold, or bad, or something you perhaps are not enjoying, it doesn't mean the prediction was wrong. 
    For those not enjoying this cold and windy weather, I have good news. Wednesday is not all that much warmer, but the winds do relax a little.
    Thursday brings a brief return to a seasonal -1. That's followed by another chilly and breezy day on Friday, then there's a longer lasting mild spell on the way for the weekend. 
    If there is something you still need to do outside before the real cold weather settles in, this is the weekend to get it done!
     
    John's 7-Day Forecast
     
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Tuesday:  S @ 40/60 this afternoon.  
    Wednesday:  NW @ 20 in the morning.   NW @ 20/30 in the afternoon.  
    Thursday:  S @ 20/40 in the morning.  NW @ 20 in the afternoon.
    Friday:  E @ 10 in the morning.  SE @ 20/30 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal November 8

    I continue to track a clipper heading across the province today. It's a quick mover so 1-3 cms is all we'll get. As of 1pm, the snow is just reaching Portage la Prairie. The snow should be east of the Red River Valley by 8pm or so. 
    Another short wave impulse bring some flurries to the party on Saturday. Expect occasional flurries or light snow into Saturday evening but not much accumulation from that system this far north.
    Sunday and Remembrance Day, we are back into the colder weather with winds getting frisky again from the northwest. 
     
    John's 7-Day Forecast
     
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Friday:  S @ 10/20 this afternoon.  
    Saturday:  NW @ 10/20 in the morning.   NW @ 25/40 in the afternoon.  
    Sunday:  NW @ 10 in the morning.  NW @ 20/30 in the afternoon.
    Monday:  NW @ 20 in the morning.  NW @ 20/30 in the afternoon.
  • John's Weather Journal November 7

    A shift in the wind direction today has a lot to do with the sunny sky we are seeing across much of southern Manitoba. Temps are still about 7 or 8 degrees off the seasonal normal though. 
    There is a bit of a milder pattern heading into the south tonight so enjoy today's sunshine because we'll be back under cloud cover for a couple of days. It's a quick 'clipper' that will spread some late afternoon and early evening snow on Friday through the Red River Valley. These clippers (lee side lows forming off the Alberta Rockies) travel fast so they don't hang around long enough to drop a bunch of snow. I'm expecting 1-2 centimetres that will start a little earlier in the west on Friday afternoon. 
    Another short wave impulse bring some flurries to the party on Saturday. Both of those days, daytime highs will be a couple of degrees below the freezing mark. 
    Sunday and Remembrance Day, we are back into the colder weather with winds getting frisky again from the northwest. 
     
    John's 7-Day Forecast
     
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Thursday:  SW @ 10/15 this afternoon.  
    Friday:  S @ 20/25 in the morning.   S @ 20/25 in the afternoon.  
    Saturday:  NW @ 10/20 in the morning.  NW @ 20/25 in the afternoon.
    Sunday:  N @ 20/30 in the morning.  NW @ 30/40 in the afternoon.
  • John's Weather Journal November 6

    Wind direction and strength at this time of year makes all the difference between sun, cloud, or flurries. here's an examplke from mid day Wednesday:
    Satellite/Radar image over lunch hour Wednesday
     
     Still, the sunshine is nice to have for at least part of the day. The wind pattern changes overnight tonight so, into Thursday, we'll lose the lake effect snow potential. Expect a full on sunny day on Thursday but still cool at -4 degrees. 
    A separate system brings cloud back on Friday along with a band of snow late in the afternoon and early in the evening. We may get a couple of centimetres form that clipper.
    Saturday is also mainly cloudy with a chance of flurries.
    The temps do bump up toward the seasonal normal for Friday and Saturday but take a real sharp dive for the second half of the weekend and through next week.  
     
    John's 7-Day Forecast
     
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Wednesday:  NW @ 30/40 this afternoon.  
    Thursday:  SW @ 10/15 in the morning.   SW @ 15/20 in the afternoon.  
    Friday:  S @ 25/40 in the morning.  W @ 10 in the afternoon.
    Saturday:  W @ 15/20 in the morning.  Light wind in the afternoon.
     

    John's Weather Journal November 5

    Another typical fall day with unfrozen lakes and a cold air mass moving over the relatively warm water. All of that leads to some sun, lots of cloudy sky in between, and some flurries on and off through the day. At least winds aren't all that strong today. 
    Wednesday is a different story as far as winds are concerned. We get breezy again in the afternoon thanks to high pressure that sets up over the Saskatchewan/Montana border. Expect a northwest flow across most of the province with velocities up to 30 or 40 km/h in the afternoon. We'll likely see some lake effect flurries, even accumulating snow closer to the big lakes. 
    Thursday is a brighter day as winds make a shift to the west, then to the southwest. Still, temps over the next couple of days are 4 or 5 degrees below the seasonal normal. 
    That south wind into Friday warms us up a little, but it's a short-lived warm up. Expect a pleasant -1 high on Friday just ahead of another cold spell through the weekend, but especially through next week.  
     
    John's 7-Day Forecast
     
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Tuesday:  W @ 10/15 this afternoon.  
    Wednesday:  NW @ 20/30 in the morning.   NW @ 30/40 in the afternoon.  
    Thursday:  W @ 10 in the morning.  SW @ 10/20 in the afternoon.
    Friday:  S @ 20/30 in the morning.  W @ 10/20 in the afternoon.
  • John's Weather Journal November 4

    It sure was nice to see some sunshine this morning. Here's the catch though, we'll be in and out of the sun and flurries again today as the winds continue to blow hard off the lakes. 
    As the winds drop tonight, we'll have less of a chance of those flurries happening. There really isn't an accumulating snow scheduled over the next week, just nuisance flurries off and on along with cool temps.
    Our normal high is +2 and we'll fall well short of that through the rest of the week and weekend here across southern Manitoba. 
    The upper flow here in the eastern prairies is in a trough position (dipping south of us) which is keeping the cold weather pattern in place, with the exception of Friday when the trough moves farther east and provides us with a day of temps closer to the seasonal normal. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
     
     
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Monday:  NW @ 30/50 this afternoon.  
    Tuesday:  W @ 10 in the morning.   W @ 10 in the afternoon.  
    Wednesday:  NW @ 10 in the morning.  NW @ 20/30 in the afternoon.
    Thursday:  W @ 15 in the morning.  W @ 15 in the afternoon.
  • John's Weather Journal November 1st

    If you think it has been cloudy lately, your right. This is also statistically the cloudiest time of year for southern Manitoba. I don't see much in the way of sunshine through the weekend either. We may see a few sunny breaks on Saturday. Next week looks generally brighter, but colder. 
    The on/off light snow continues today and tonight into Saturday morning. Not much accumulation expected but we may see some ground covering amounts near the lakes as the winds pick up Friday afternoon out of the northwest. It is Lake Effect Snow season. 
    Winds are much quieter on the weekend ahead of another low that will bring some snow on Sunday night into Monday.
    Monday gets windy again out of the northwest as the cold front moves through. After Monday, it's going to feel more like winter than fall. 
     
    John's 7-Day Forecast
     
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Friday:  NW @ 30/50 this afternoon.  
    Saturday:  W @ 10 in the morning.   SW @ 10 in the afternoon.  
    Sunday:  NW @ 20 in the morning.  NW @ 15/20 in the afternoon.
    Monday:  SW @ 10/20 in the morning.  NW @ 30/50 in the afternoon.
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