John Sauder weather blog Live

John Sauder, CBC's meteorologist in Manitoba, keeps track of weather moving across the province.

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    John's Weather Journal May 18

    As of 1pm, we have about 10mm on the ground in Winnipeg. Amounts are a little higher in the southern Red River Valley and SE part of the province.

    Totals should come in around 15-20mm by the time the rain ends. 

    This will clear quickly tonight. I think the rain ends around 9pm in the Valley, then the cloud clears overnight. 

    Satellite/Radar at 2pm shows the back edge of the rain and the clearing to the northwest
     

    If you are setting up a tent to the east for the long weekend, it'll be a challenge this evening but the rest of the weekend looks dry with an abundance of sunshine. 

    Saturday is still a little cool with morning temps near 2 degrees and highs around 18 for the Red River Valley, warmer to the west, cooler to the east. Winds will also be breezy from the north. 

    Temps slowly climb back to the mid 20s for Sunday and Monday with lighter winds. 

    Next week, we will see highs more like 26 to 28 degrees with the next chance for rain being Friday.  

    John's 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Friday:  NE @ 30/50 this afternoon. 

    Saturday:  Light Wind in the morning.   NW @ 20/25 in the afternoon. 

    Sunday:  W @ 10 in the morning.  SW @ 15 in the afternoon.

    Monday:  SW @ 10 in the morning.  S @ 20/30 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal May 17

    I’ll be tracking a low across the prairies today. At the same time, another low moving up through the american mid west starts to interact with that low and draw moisture into southern Manitoba. 

    We have already had some rain this morning, but the main event is later today and into Friday. It’ll be windy as well out of the east gusting to 60km/h Thursday afternoon.

    This all transitions into a steady rainfall on Friday morning tapering to showers late in the day. 

    Friday will be wet, cool and windy. There is potential for 10-20mm with pockets of heavier amounts due to the threat of thunderstorms. 

    The system clears rather quickly Friday night.

    Friday Evening, the System Clears to the East
     

    The long weekend brings the sunshine back in full force as temps slowly climb back to the mid 20s for Sunday and Monday. 

    John's 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Thursday:  E @ 30/60 this afternoon. 

    Friday:  NE @ 20/30 in the morning.   N @ 30/50 in the afternoon. 

    Saturday:  N @ 15/20 in the morning.  N @ 20 in the afternoon.

    Sunday:  SW @ 10 in the morning.  W @ 10 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal May 16

    Last evening’s 1-2mm of rain wasn’t nearly enough but it dragged some of that dust out of the atmosphere. As a result, car washes will be busy today. 

    Today is a quiet day weather-wise in the south but there is a change coming. This is the Thursday night/Friday rain I’ve been talking about and it should be a significant rainfall. 

    I’ll be tracking a low across the prairies on Thursday. At the same time, another low moving up through the american mid west starts to interact with that low over southern Manitoba. 

    Thursday morning, we could see a brief shower or thunderstorm followed by cloudy conditions most of the day. It’ll be windy as well. 

    Then, later in the day, expect scattered showers morphing into a steady rainfall for the overnight into Friday. 

    If all tracks as I think it will, the first half of Friday will be wet, cool and windy. There is potential for 10-20mm as the rain tapers to showers in the afternoon.

    Futurecast for early Friday (RPM Model)
     

    The long weekend brings the sunshine back in full force as temps slowly climb back to the mid 20s for Sunday and Monday. 

    John's 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Wednesday:  NE @ 30 this afternoon. 

    Thursday:  NE @ 25/40 in the morning.   E @ 40/60 in the afternoon. 

    Friday:  NE @ 20/30 in the morning.  N @ 30/50 in the afternoon.

    Saturday:  N @ 10/15 in the morning.  N @ 15/20 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal May 15

    Today will be a warm day, but a windy one! We should have no problem getting to 28 degrees as the sunshine appears here in the Red River Valley. Winds will gust to at least 60km/h.

    1pm conditions at YWG. 8km in Blowing Dust
     

    Tuesday evening, there is a slight chance for a brief shower followed by clearing skies and a sunny Wednesday. 

    Wednesday and Thursday will also be fairly breezy and not quite as warm.

    The watch for a soaking rain continues. I’m tracking a developing system that will likely give us some moisture Thursday evening and overnight into Friday. 

    Friday morning is looking like our best opportunity for a steady rain. It tapers to showers after lunchtime. Friday is also the cool day of the week at 14 degrees, followed by drier and sunny weather on the long weekend. 

    John's 7-Day Forecast
     

    You'll notice a couple of minor adjustments here in my 7-day forecast. Friday is cooler and the timing of the much needed rain is more clear, mostly Thursday night and Friday morning.  

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Tuesday:  SW @ 40/60 this afternoon. 

    Wednesday:  N @ 20/30 in the morning.   NE @ 25/30 in the afternoon. 

    Thursday:  E @ 20 in the morning.  E @ 30/50 in the afternoon.

    Friday:  N @ 20 in the morning.  N @ 30/50 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal May 14

    Monday seems to be sandwiched between two 28 degree days. I'm expecting another warm one on Tuesday. 

    There will be some wind this week, unfortunate for those who are sick of the blowing dust. Winds will gust to 60km/h Tuesday. Wednesday and Thursday will also be fairly breezy. 

    The watch for rain continues. there is a slight chance of a passing shower on Tuesday evening but a better chance for showers on Thursday.

    Friday is still our best opportunity for some soaking rain. Friday is also the cool day of the week followed by drier and sunny weather on the long weekend. 

    John's 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Monday:  NW @ 30/40 this afternoon. 

    Tuesday:  S @ 30/40 in the morning.   SW @ 40/60 in the afternoon. 

    Wednesday:  N @ 20/25 in the morning.  NE @ 30/40 in the afternoon.

    Thursday:  NE @ 30/50 in the morning.  NE @ 30/40 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal May 11

    The sun is struggling to poke through the cloud today but we’ll end up with a sun/cloud mix this afternoon. I’ll stick to a 17 degree afternoon high. 

    No change in my weekend forecast. Generally sunny with highs of 21 on Saturday and 26 on Sunday. The Mom’s Day BBQ will be warm but breezy. 

    The dry and warm weather continues into early next week with slightly cooler conditions later in the week. 

    What stands out though is the unfortunate lack of rain. This will likely end up being one of the top five longest dry spells in Winnipeg. 

    I was hinting at a measurable rainfall possible on Friday next week but the model guidance is now uncertain on that. 

    We are going to need a change in the upper level pattern to push some serious moisture our way. I don’t see that happening over the next week. 

    John's 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Friday:  NE @ 10 this afternoon. 

    Saturday:  SW @ 10 in the morning.   SW @ 20 in the afternoon. 

    Sunday:  SW @ 20 in the morning.  W @ 30/40 in the afternoon.

    Monday:  W @ 10 in the morning.  SW @ 15/20 in the afternoon.

     

    John's Weather Journal May 10

    There was a record low temp at the airport last night (this morning). The mercury dropped to -8.5C (old record was -7.8 in 1890). 

    I have to say it’s a bit of an anomaly. At the same time downtown at The Forks, the temperature dropped to just +1C.  

    There’s a couple of things going on here. The dry air will help with radiational heat loss in open areas like the airport, and the urban heat island effect. The concrete downtown heats up during the day and emits that heat during the night. 

    Thursday will be the coolest day of this week with a high of just 13. Winds will continue to lighten up this afternoon. 

    Friday, we are back into the upper teens. We’ll be warming into the 20s for the weekend, even mid 20s by Sunday, Mom’s Day.  

    All of those days are fairly sunny, but we sure could use some rain. We haven’t had any measurable precipitation since April 12th. That was 1.2mm of melted snow. 

    Looking at the long range guidance, there is a hint of a decent rainfall on Friday next week. 

    John's 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Thursday:  N @ 15 this afternoon. 

    Friday:  E @ 10 in the morning.   NE @ 15 in the afternoon. 

    Saturday:  S @ 10 in the morning.  SW @ 15/20 in the afternoon.

    Sunday:  SW @ 20/25 in the morning.  W @ 30/40 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal May 9

    We have already reached our high of 17 degrees and now the temp will drop through the afternoon as the cold north winds behind the cold front kick in.

    The province has issued an advisory for rising water levels and wave action on the southern shores of the big lakes. 

    Winds will generally be gusting to 60km/h here in the Red River Valley but over the water, those gusts will likely be stronger.

    That front is attached to a low in the north that is giving snow and windy conditions to the Churchill area today. 

    As we settle in to the second half of the week, cooler weather remains through the day Thursday with a high of just 13. 

    We'll certainly enjoy a fair dose of sunshine, but not a fair dose of rain, which we really need at this point. 

    In the eastern prairies, it's been close to 2 months since we've seen more than 0.5mm of rain on any given day. 

    Number of days with less than 0.5mm of rain.
     

    There is a warm up scheduled for the weekend with Sunday, Mother's Day, getting back into the mid 20s. 

    John's 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Wednesday:  N @ 40/60 this afternoon. 

    Thursday:  N @ 20/25 in the morning.   N @ 10 in the afternoon. 

    Friday:  NE @ 10 in the morning.  N @ 10 in the afternoon.

    Saturday:  N @ 10 in the morning.  SW @ 10 in the afternoon.

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