John Sauder weather blog Live

John Sauder, CBC's meteorologist in Manitoba, keeps track of weather moving across the province.

  • Weather Journal for November 1st

    Things start to change somewhat as we head into Wednesday. 

    Wednesday welcomes in November with some snow. It’ll be the wet variety of snow on into the evening and right into Thursday morning. Depending on how much melts on contact, we could end up with a coating of 3 or 4 cms by Thursday morning. 

    Thursday still doesn’t bring us much sunshine across the south with a cooler high of -1. 

    Friday is another chilly day with a high of  -2 and a mix of sun and cloud. Then, I’m tracking more snow heading toward us for the weekend.   

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Wednesday: E @ 20/25 in the morning . E @ 20/30 in the afternoon.

    Thursday:  N @ 20/30 in the morning.  N @ 20/30 in the afternoon.

    Friday: N @ 10 in the morning.  N @ 10 in the afternoon.

  • Weather Journal for October 31st

     

    Our Halloween will be a little bit scary, but really, could be a lot worse. This will likely be the coldest Halloween since 2006 and the first one since that year in Winnipeg with a high temp that stays below zero. 

    We should be right around -2 to -3 for the period tonight when the kids are out trick or treating. 

    Things start to change somewhat as we head into Wednesday. 

    Wednesday welcomes in November with some snow. It’ll be the wet variety of snow on into the evening and right into Thursday morning. Depending on how much melts on contact, we could end up with a coating of 3 or 4 cms by Thursday morning. 

    Thursday still doesn’t bring us much sunshine across the south with a cooler high of -1. 

    Friday is another chilly day with a high of  -2 and a mix of sun and cloud. Then, I’m tracking more snow heading toward us for the weekend.   

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Tuesday: S @ 20 this afternoon.

    Wednesday: E @ 20/25 in the morning . E @ 20/30 in the afternoon.

    Thursday:  N @ 20/30 in the morning.  N @ 20/30 in the afternoon.

    Friday: N @ 10 in the morning.  N @ 10 in the afternoon.

  • Weather Journal for October 30th

     

    Last week I said Monday would be “raw’. I think that’s a fair assessment. Winds are gusty, it’s generally cloudy, we have occasional flurries, and the temps are struggling to reach zero. 

    Tuesday will be a little brighter, although cloud over in time for the kids to head out to collect candy. Expect a mix if sun and cloud and a chilly high of -1. Winds also pick up in the evening. Dress for the chilly conditions if you are taking the kids out. 

    Wednesday welcomes in November with some snow. It’ll be the wet variety of snow on into the evening and right into Thursday morning. 

    Friday is another dry but chilly day at -2. Then I’m tracking more snow heading toward us for the weekend.   

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Monday: N @ 40/60 this afternoon.

    Tuesday: SW @ 10 in the morning . S @ 20/30 in the afternoon.

    Wednesday:  E @ 20/30 in the morning.  NE @ 10 in the afternoon.

    Thursday: N @ 25/40 in the morning.  N @ 25/40 in the afternoon.

  • John's Weather Journal October 27

    Let's look back to yesterday evening for a second. Bridges iced up all over the city during the rush hour. To me, this was not a surprise.

    The winds were not stronger than forecast, at least not my forecast. We did not experience a band of freezing rain either. We need a deep enough layer of warm air aloft to produce melting, then below freezing temperatures at the surface to super-cool those rain drops which then freeze on contact with surfaces. We did have wet snow and temperatures were slightly below freezing. The clouds were starting to thin, the temperature was dropping as a result of radiational heat loss and that is why the bridges iced up first.  

    Okay, now today, the sun will do its best to sneak between the clouds and get us to 3 degrees. Nice to have the lighter winds. 

    Saturday starts with sunshine and calm conditions. There’s a good chance we’ll be dealing with lower visibilities due to patchy fog on Saturday morning. In the afternoon, cloud rolls in with a high of 4 degrees and the wind starts to pick up again. 

    Expect another band of snow Saturday evening (any time between 7pm and 1am Sunday).  It’ll be a wet snow as temps will stay close to zero overnight. 

    Sunday is a cloudy day with a seasonal high of 6 degrees, and the winds really get going in the afternoon as a cold front passes. (NW @ 30/50)  We’ll also have some afternoon showers changing to evening flurries on Sunday. 

    Time to throw the snow brush in the car for good. Monday brings more flurries, windy conditions and cool temps that will hover just above freezing. 

    Tuesday (Halloween) is a dry day with a sun/cloud mix but the kids will have to wear a heavier coat under the costume. Expect a high of just 2 degrees in the afternoon. Cooler when the kids head out to collect candy. 

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Friday: W @ 10 this afternoon.

    Saturday: Calm in the morning . S @ 20/25 in the afternoon.

    Sunday:  W @ 20 in the morning.  NW @ 30/50 in the afternoon.

    Monday: NW @ 40/60 in the morning.  NW @ 40/60 in the afternoon.

  • John's Weather Journal October 27

    Friday, the sun comes out, and winds remain light. Saturday starts with sunshine but I do see another band of snow Saturday night into Sunday.

    We could even be dealing with some freezing rain early Sunday morning followed by showers later in the day.   

    The normal high is now 6 degrees. Looking into next week, highs will be closer to 2 or 3 degrees. 

     

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Friday: NW @ 10 in the morning . W @ 10 in the afternoon.

    Saturday:  Light Wind in the morning.  SW @ 10/20 in the afternoon.

    Sunday: NW @ 15 in the morning.  NW @ 30/40 in the afternoon.

  • John's Weather Journal October 26

    As of 1pm, the sun is already starting to show up in areas like Swan River and Dauphin. The intense low that dropped the wet snow and ice on southern Manitoba continues to hammer northwestern Ontario. 

    That western region picked up about 10cms as expected. Winnipeg saw the 1-2cm I was forecasting for the grassy areas. It’ll melt. The east is also in that 10cm range and highways are slick. 

    We are still seeing a few flurries here in the metro but generally, the snow continues to taper off. 

    The wind is still a factor today, gusting to 70km/h. The wind drops off overnight as skies clear.  

    Friday, the sun comes out, and winds remain light. I do see another band of snow Saturday night into Sunday. We could even be dealing with some freezing rain early Sunday morning.   

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Thursday: N @ 40/70 this afternoon.

    Friday: NW @ 10 in the morning . W @ 10 in the afternoon.

    Saturday:  Light Wind in the morning.  SW @ 10/20 in the afternoon.

    Sunday: NW @ 15 in the morning.  NW @ 30/40 in the afternoon.

  • John's Weather Journal October 26

    I continue to track an intense low pressure system that is now moving through Manitoba. This one will, again, bring some fairly nasty conditions to the south through Thursday.  

    The transition from rain to snow is happening west to east through Thursday.

    We’ll likely receive 15mm before the change over to wet snow sometime in the morning hours. 

    Projected Rainfall Amounts by 9am Thursday (RPM Model)

    I’m not expecting a whole lot of accumulation in the Winnipeg area but west of the Red River Valley, a few centimetres could coat the ground on Thursday. Farther west, over the higher terrain, we could see 5-10cm accumulate. That includes the Dauphin region. 

    Winds will also be very strong through the day Thursday which will create some fairly challenging driving conditions on highways. 

    Factors that will determine whether highways ice up (or not) include the temperature of the ground in a specific location, how much of the snow sticks to the ground or melts on contact,  and how tires may polish up that road surface if temps are close to, or below freezing. 

    There is potential for warning criteria winds across most of the south, but generally winds will be at 50 gusting to 80 km/h most of the day. 

    Futurecast Showing Rain/Snow Transition Thursday Morning 

    Behind that system on Friday, the sun comes out, and winds drop off.

    Any snow that sticks should melt as we head into the weekend.  

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Thursday: N @ 50/80 in the morning . N @ 50/70 in the afternoon.

    Friday:  NW @ 10 in the morning.  SW @ 10/15 in the afternoon.

    Saturday: Light Wind in the morning.  Light Wind in the afternoon.

  • John's Weather Journal October 25

    I continue to track an intense low pressure system that is now over Saskatchewan moving into Manitoba today. This one will, again, bring some fairly nasty conditions to the south Wednesday night and through Thursday.  

    This system will start to drop rain in the western parklands region Wednesday afternoon, then into the Red River Valley on Wednesday evening. We’ll likely receive 15mm of rain before the transition to wet snow on Thursday morning. 

    Projected Rainfall Amounts by 9am Thursday (RPM Model)

    I’m not expecting a whole lot of accumulation in the Winnipeg area but west of the Red River Valley, a few centimetres could coat the ground on Thursday. Farther west, over the higher terrain, we could see 5-10cm accumulate. That includes the Dauphin region. 

    Winds will also be very strong through the day Thursday which will create some fairly challenging driving conditions on highways. 

    Factors that will determine whether highways ice up (or not) include the temperature of the ground in a specific location, how much of the snow sticks to the ground or melts on contact,  and how tires may polish up that road surface if temps are close to, or below freezing. 

    There is potential for warning criteria winds across most of the south, but generally winds will be at 50 gusting to 80 km/h most of the day. 

    Futurecast Showing Rain/Snow Transition Thursday Morning 

    Behind that system on Friday, the sun comes out, and winds drop off.

    Any snow that sticks should melt as we head into the weekend.  

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Wednesday: SE @ 20 this afternoon.

    Thursday: N @ 50/80 in the morning . N @ 50/70 in the afternoon.

    Friday:  NW @ 10 in the morning.  SW @ 10/15 in the afternoon.

    Saturday: Light Wind in the morning.  Light Wind in the afternoon.

  • John's Weather Journal October 25th

    I continue to track that intense low pressure that will, again, bring some fairly nasty conditions to the south Wednesday night into Thursday.  

    Wednesday is the warm day of the week but the approaching cold front attached to this system moves through early on Thursday morning switching some overnight rain into snow. 

    Futurecast guidance is consistently on track for some snow and wind Thursday:

    That’s not the worst of it. Winds, again, will be very strong behind the low, possibly warning criteria on Thursday (90km/h). 

    It’s not a lot of snow, (2cm) but with winds like that, we could be in for some driving challenges on highways Thursday morning, mainly in the Red River Valley and the southeast. It all depends on the temperature that morning. 

    Behind that system on Friday, the sun comes out, and temps get back closer to seasonal.

    Any snow that sticks should melt as we head into the weekend.  

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Wednesday: NW @ 10 in the morning . SE @ 20/30 in the afternoon.

    Thursday:  N @ 40/60 in the morning.  N @ 50/80 in the afternoon.

    Friday: N @ 30/40 in the morning.  N @ 20/30 in the afternoon

  • John's Weather Journal October 24th

    Expect cloudy skies with temps up around 9 degrees later Tuesday. Winds will also drop off a little through the day. 

    I have a chance of showers in my forecast for the evening hours in the Red River Valley. 

    That sprinkle happens along a warm front connected to an intense low pressure that will, again, bring some fairly nasty conditions to the south Wednesday night into Thursday.  

    Wednesday is the warm day of the week but the approaching cold front attached to this system moves through early on Thursday morning switching some overnight rain into snow. 

    Futurecast guidance is consistently on track for some snow and wind Thursday:

    That’s not the worst of it. Winds, again, will be very strong behind the low, possibly warning criteria on Thursday (90km/h). 

    It’s not a lot of snow, (2cm) but with winds like that, we could be in for some driving challenges on highways Thursday morning, mainly in the Red River Valley and the southeast. It all depends on the temperature that morning. 

    Behind that system on Friday, the sun comes out, and temps get back closer to seasonal.

    Any snow that sticks should melt as we head into the weekend.  

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Tuesday: SW @ 15/20 this afternoon.

    Wednesday: NW @ 10 in the morning . SE @ 20/30 in the afternoon.

    Thursday:  N @ 40/60 in the morning.  N @ 50/80 in the afternoon.

    Friday: N @ 30/40 in the morning.  N @ 20/30 in the afternoon.

  • John's Weather Journal October 23

    There is a change coming mid week that will serve as a blunt wake-up call. Wednesday will be the warmest day of the week and start with sunshine, but an approaching low will bring cloud, rain, even snow into Thursday morning. 

    Futurecast (RPM Model) showing conditions for Thursday morning 

    That’s not the worst of it. Winds again will be very strong, possibly warning criteria on Thursday (90km/h). 

    It’s not a lot of snow, but with winds like that, we could be in for some driving challenges on highways Thursday morning, mainly in the Red River Valley and the southeast. 

    Behind that system on Friday, the sun comes out, and temps get back to seasonal to melt the 2-3cms that fell into Thursday morning. 

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Tuesday: NW @ 20/30 in the morning . W @ 15/20 in the afternoon.

    Wednesday:  W @ 15/20 in the morning.  S @ 25/40 in the afternoon.

    Thursday: NW @ 40/70 in the morning. NW @ 60/80 Mid Day.  NW @ 50/70 in the afternoon.

     
  •  

    John's Weather Journal October 23

    It’s certainly a cooler week than last. The weekend has been gradually cooling down and now temps across the south are closer to the seasonal normals (-3/7).

    There is a change coming mid week that will serve as a blunt wake-up call. Wednesday will be the warmest day of the week and start with sunshine, but an approaching low will bring cloud, rain, even snow into Thursday morning. 

    Futurecast (RPM Model) showing conditions for Thursday morning 

     

    That’s not the worst of it. Winds again will be very strong, possibly warning criteria on Thursday (90km/h). 

    It’s not a lot of snow, but with winds like that, we could be in for some driving challenges on highways Thursday morning, mainly in the Red River Valley and the southeast. 

    Behind that system on Friday, the sun comes out, and temps get back to seasonal to melt the 2-3cms that fell into Thursday morning. 

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Monday: NW @ 30/50 this afternoon.

    Tuesday: NW @ 20/30 in the morning . W @ 15/20 in the afternoon.

    Wednesday:  W @ 15/20 in the morning.  S @ 25/40 in the afternoon.

    Thursday: NW @ 40/70 in the morning. NW @ 60/80 Mid Day.  NW @ 50/70 in the afternoon.

Powered by ScribbleLive Content Marketing Software Platform