John Sauder weather blog Live
John Sauder, CBC's meteorologist in Manitoba, keeps track of weather moving across the province.
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John's Weather Journal January 9
Cloudy, mild and breezy is what I think best describes our Tuesday afternoon. The change happens on Wednesday, what I call the “transition day.”
Now, if I was to say that we are going to have a high of -7 on Wednesday, what would you think? Pretty mild, right, considering the normal high is -13.
Okay, please don’t dress for the -7. By the time 4pm rolls around, the temperature will be closer to -16 and the wind will be howling along at 30/50km/h out of the northwest.
We also have a chance for freezing rain or ice pellets in the morning and some snow in the afternoon. Dress for the late day conditions. You’ll be much happier and you won’t be inclined to send me a “what the” email on Thursday.
Early Wednesday Morning Futurecast
That transition day sends us back into the deep freeze.By Thursday, we have the sunshine, but a high of -23 and a breeze that may produce wind chills cold enough for another extreme cold warning.
That kind of weather (but without the wind) will last through the weekend.
Updated 7-Day Forecast
Wind Forecast for WinnipegTuesday: S @ 20/30 this afternoon.
Wednesday: NW @ 30/50 in the morning. NW @ 30/50 in the afternoon.
Thursday: NW @ 25 in the morning. NW @ 20/25 in the afternoon.
Friday: Light Wind in the morning. NW @ 10 in the afternoon.
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John's Weather Journal January 8
For those who are sick of the deep freeze, a bit of a break for you. We’ll get to a respectable -6 to -8 across the south today with a healthy dose of sunshine.
Tuesday is a cloudy day, although milder with a high temp of -2 in Winnipeg. There’s a catch, a risk of some freezing rain in the evening.
I’ll be tracking a low across Saskatchewan Tuesday heading toward central Manitoba on Tuesday night. This one packs a significant 10-15cm across the northern Interlake and central regions of the province.
South of the low is where we could see a band of freezing rain on Tuesday evening.
Once the low pushes east on Wednesday, the colder air behind it sinks south sending us into an extended frigid weather pattern again.
Across the south on Wednesday, expect falling temps with gusty northwest winds and a slight chance of flurries.
By Thursday, we have the sunshine, but a high of -23 and a breeze that may produce wind chills cold enough for another extreme cold warning.
Updated 7-Day Forecast
Wind Forecast for WinnipegMonday: N @ 10/20 this afternoon.
Tuesday: SE @ 15 in the morning. S @ 20/30 in the afternoon.
Wednesday: NW @ 30/50 in the morning. NW @ 30/50 in the afternoon.
Thursday: NW @ 15/20 in the morning. NW @ 20/30 in the afternoon.
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John's Weather Journal January 5
This will be the last cold day for a while. Okay, what’s the definition of “a while?” How about 4 or 5 days.
Temps across the southeast will hover around -19 to -21 this afternoon. It’s slightly milder in the west.
Saturday, we get windy out of the south and start to warm up to a temp that is closer to seasonal. (-11 on Saturday)
We also have a chance of afternoon and evening flurries on Saturday. Plan something outside for the weekend.
Sunday really warms up. There is good agreement in the model guidance now that puts Winnipeg at -3 in the afternoon. That is the mildest temperature we’ve seen since mid-December. The west could get above zero on Sunday.
We are fairly mild for the first half of next week but cool off again by Wednesday afternoon and Thursday.
The next organized snowfall I see is scheduled for Tuesday night and Wednesday morning, then temps fall through the day on Wednesday.
Updated 7-Day Forecast
Wind Forecast for WinnipegFriday: SE @ 10 this afternoon.
Saturday: S @ 30/40 in the morning. S @ 30/50 in the afternoon.
Sunday: W @ 10 in the morning. W @ 15 in the afternoon.
Monday: W @ 15 in the morning. Light Wind in the afternoon.
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John's Weather Journal January 4
I know, still cold. If you like sunshine though, wow, what a day! Expect a high of -20 across the southeast today.
We have extreme cold warning east of Lake Winnipeg in the Poplar River and Berens River regions and in northern Manitoba as well.
The southwest is a few degrees milder than the Red River Valley but it’s cloudy and there is some light snow falling around the Riding Mountain area and toward the Saskatchewan border.Friday will be a similar day with temp around -19 and lots of sunshine in the southeast. Should be a brighter day in the west as well.
Plan something outside for the weekend.
Saturday, I have a high of -11 but it will be windy out of the south. We’ll also see a few flurries in the afternoon.
Sunday really warms up. Some of the computer guidance pegs Winnipeg at -3 in the afternoon. I think -5 is more reasonable, still, that is the mildest temperature we’ve seen since mid-December.
The next organized snowfall I see is scheduled for Wednesday next week.
Updated 7-Day Forecast
Wind Forecast for WinnipegThursday: NE @ 10 this afternoon.
Friday: Light Wind in the morning. SE @ 10 in the afternoon.
Saturday: S @ 30/50 in the morning. S @ 25/40 in the afternoon.
Sunday: W @ 20 in the morning. W @ 20 in the afternoon.
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John's Weather Journal January 3
Well, it’s back to the frigid weather for a few days. High pressure sits right over southern Manitoba so skies are bright and winds are light, thankfully.
Highs all across the south will be between -20 and -22 today.
Thursday and Friday are on the cold side of normal but we do get milder again for the weekend.
It will be a great weekend to be outside and “embrace” winter.
Saturday, I have a high of -11 but it will be windy out of the south. We’ll also see a few flurries.
Updated 7-Day Forecast
Wind Forecast for WinnipegWednesday: NW @ 10 this afternoon.
Thursday: Light Wind in the morning. E @ 10 in the afternoon.
Friday: NE @ 10 in the morning. SE @ 10 in the afternoon.
Saturday: S @ 30/50 in the morning. S @ 30/50 in the afternoon.
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John's Weather Journal January 2
Nice to get a bit of a break from the extremely cold weather. It’s a short break though. We are back into colder weather for the next few days.
Today, we warm up to a seasonally normal high of -13, but winds also pick up later today as another cold wedge of air sinks southward. Wind chill will be high again tonight.
A surface high is working into the eastern prairies once again so our daytime highs across the south will struggle to reach -20 on Wednesday.
The good news is, the surface high will sit right over southern Manitoba so winds will be fairly light through the day and the sky will be sunny.
Thursday and Friday are also on the cold side of normal but we do get milder again for the weekend. It will be a great weekend to be outside and “embrace” winter.
Updated 7-Day Forecast
Wind Forecast for WinnipegTuesday: NW @ 30/50 this afternoon.
Wednesday: NW @ 10 in the morning. Light Wind in the afternoon.
Thursday: SE @ 10 in the morning. E @ 10 in the afternoon.
Friday: E @ 10 in the morning. SE @ 15/20 in the afternoon.
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John's Weather Journal December 29th
Almost the entire province is in an Extreme Cold Warning this morning, with the exception of areas east of the Red River Valley and east of Lake Winnipeg. Still really cold there, just not quite warning criteria.
Temps across most of the south will stay in the mid minus 20s but the wind will pick up this afternoon and gust to 30 or 40. That puts us in the “stupid cold” range. I know, not an official meteorological term but you get the picture.Saturday is actually colder with an afternoon high of -27 to -28 but winds are lighter. Expect morning temps on Saturday and Sunday right around -33 to -34.
Sunday’s high is -24 and, by the time we have fireworks at The Forks Sunday evening, the temperature should be around -28 with extreme wind chills once again.
It’ll be slightly milder on Monday and Tuesday but still well below the seasonal normals as we start the new year.
Looking at the long range guidance and I see a glimmer of hope for the next Saturday/Sunday time frame.Wind Forecast for Winnipeg
Friday: NW @ 25/40 this afternoon.
Saturday: NW @ 10 in the morning. NW @ 10 in the afternoon.
Sunday: W @ 10 in the morning. W @ 15/20 in the afternoon.
Monday: W @ 10 in the morning. SW @ 15 in the afternoon.