John Sauder weather blog Live

John Sauder, CBC's meteorologist in Manitoba, keeps track of weather moving across the province.

  • John's Weather Journal February 23

    Friday afternoon will be a few degrees milder than Thursday afternoon but feel a lot more comfortable with lighter winds. 

    In the north, there is a weak low giving a few flurries to northern Saskatchewan and northern Manitoba today. Amounts aren’t all that impressive with 1-2cm expected through the next 12 hours. 

    In the south, this kind of weather takes us into the weekend with a couple of wrinkles in the pattern. 

    After a sunny start and some increasing cloud Saturday afternoon, there is a chance for some flurries overnight Saturday into Sunday as a weak frontal wave moves south from the Interlake. 

    We are back to a sun/cloud mix on Sunday and still mild at -4. 

    I also see a chance for some snow on Monday afternoon. That one may require a clean up of a couple of centimetres once it passes. 

    Next week looks fairly mild in the south with temps close to, or slightly higher, than the seasonal normal which is -6 degree. 

    Updated 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Friday:  W @ 10 this afternoon. 

    Saturday: S @ 20 in the morning.   S @ 30/40 in the afternoon. 

    Sunday:  SW @ 10 in the morning.  W @ 20/30 in the afternoon.

    Monday:  SE @ 10/20 in the morning.  NW @ 10 in the afternoon.

  • John's Weather Journal February 22

    We’ll be back to minus single digit highs starting today and that lasts right through the weekend. 

    I don’t see any major snow events for Manitoba over the next week but I do see the chance for a few light flurries on Saturday night into Sunday morning. 

    Then, after the weekend, a few centimetres around the Monday time frame. Forecast model guidance keeps changing on the timing of those small snow events so stay tuned on that.  

    Updated 7-Day Forecast
     

    Not so cold that we have to worry about frostbite, and not so warm that the river trail and the snow sculptures at Festival melt prematurely. 

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Thursday:  S @ 20/25 this afternoon. 

    Friday: N @ 10 in the morning.   SW @ 10/15 in the afternoon. 

    Saturday:  S @ 20 in the morning.  S @ 25/30 in the afternoon.

    Sunday:  SW @ 10/15 in the morning.  SW @ 20/25 in the afternoon.

  • John's Weather Journal February 21

    Daytime highs across the south today will still be several degrees below the seasonal normal but, knowing that we are going to warm up in the coming days makes it easier to handle. That bright sunshine also helps. 

    We'll be back to minus single digit highs starting Thursday and lasting right through the weekend. 

    Updated 7-Day Forecast
     

    I don't see any major snow events for Manitoba over the next week but I do see the chance for a few light flurries on Friday and again on Saturday afternoon. 

    Then, down the road a bit, a few centimetres around the Wednesday time frame.  

    Not so cold that we have to worry about frostbite, and not so warm that the river trail and the snow sculptures at Festival melt prematurely. 

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Wednesday:  SW @ 20/25 this afternoon. 

    Thursday: S @ 15 in the morning.   S @ 20 in the afternoon. 

    Friday:  NW @ 10/15 in the morning.  SW @ 10 in the afternoon.

    Saturday:  S @ 20 in the morning.  S @ 25/30 in the afternoon.

  • John's Weather Journal February 20

    Light snow is moving off to the southeast this afternoon as the sun returns gradually. Clear skies stick around tonight and for the next couple of days.

    The other significant part of the weather story this week is the warming temps. We’ll be back to minus single digits - even above seasonal - for the second half of the week and into the weekend. 

    The extreme cold warnings have ended in northern Manitoba as temps are generally in the mid minus teens today. It’s -22 in Churchill through the mid day. 

    The only snow I see for the south is a few light flurries Saturday night into Sunday but amounts won’t be significant. 

    Updated 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Friday:  W @ 15/20 this afternoon. 

    Saturday: SW @ 15 in the morning.   SW @ 20/25 in the afternoon. 

    Sunday:  S @ 10 in the morning.  S @ 15/20 in the afternoon.

    Monday:  W @ 10 in the morning.  SW @ 15/20 in the afternoon.

  • John's Weather Journal February 15

    What a difference 12 hours makes. We went from -5 degrees at 9:00 Wednesday night to -23.4 at 9:00 Thursday morning.

    Temps across the south today will struggle to reach -20 and the wind out of the north puts us in a 15 minute freeze time on exposed skin.  

    In the north, daytime highs today are between -23 and -29 for the most part. 

    Here’s the good news if you are one of those people who is sick and tired of the bone-chilling weather. It’s a one day cold snap in the south. 

    There is a quick recovery on the way as we get back to -8 on Friday and a windy -9 on Saturday. 

    I do see a few flurries in the mix for Friday evening and again on Saturday overnight into Sunday.

    After that, we are back into some colder weather again. Highs Sunday through Tuesday will be closer to the mid minus teens. 

    But, He Ho, at the snow sculptures won’t melt at Festival Du Voyageur which opens Friday night. 

     

    Updated 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Thursday:  NW @ 25/30 this afternoon. 

    Friday: SW @ 15 in the morning.   S @ 20/30 in the afternoon. 

    Saturday:  NW @ 20/40 in the morning.  W @ 30/50 in the afternoon.

    Sunday:  NW @ 20 in the morning.  NW @ 20 in the afternoon.

  • John's Weather Journal February 14

    If you are here in the south, today’s weather message is simply this:  “GO OUTSIDE.” 

    We’ll likely go from windshield washer fluid to extreme cold warnings in the next 18 hours. 

    A very sharp arctic front is moving out of northern Manitoba behind a low that is dropping 2-4cms of snow across the north end of the lakes.

    Temps in the south today will be quite mild at 0 to +2, but drop behind the front into the mid minus 20s tonight.  

    As of 1pm, we are at +1 at The Forks and -33 in Churchill. That’s how cold the air is to the north. 

    Winds also get strong along the frontal zone and we’ll likely see a dusting of snow into the evening hours. 

    With strong winds lasting into the morning hours, extreme cold warnings will likely be pushed farther south. 

    There is a quick recovery on the way though as we get back to -10 on Friday and -9 on Saturday. 

    After that, the long range guidance has the south in below seasonal temperatures for the remainder of the month. 

    Updated 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Wednesday:  NW @ 20 this afternoon. 

    Thursday: NW @ 30/50 in the morning.   NW @ 20/30 in the afternoon. 

    Friday:  SW @ 20 in the morning.  S @ 20/30 in the afternoon.

    Saturday:  NW @ 30/40 in the morning.  NW @ 30/50 in the afternoon.

  • John's Weather Journal February 13

    The milder temps are part of the weather story today, the wind is the other part of the story. Winds are gusting over 60km/h as we warm to between -5 and -7 this afternoon.  

    There is a slight chance of a flurry this afternoon here in the upper Red River Valley followed by clearing this evening, followed by more cloud moving in again overnight.

    Wednesday is cloudy and even milder at -1 in the afternoon but winds shift to the northwest as the cold front (very cold front) pushes through. 

    Expect some light snow along the front as winds go northwest and temps drop into the evening. 

    By Thursday morning, we are back into the mid minus 20s and back into the sunny and cold weather for at least one day. Friday rebounds to -10 degrees for an afternoon high.  

    Wild Swings in Forecast Highs Next Few Days
     

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Tuesday:  S @ 40/60 this afternoon. 

    Wednesday: S @ 20/30 in the morning.   NW @ 20 in the afternoon. 

    Thursday:  NW @ 30/40 in the morning.  NW @ 25/40 in the afternoon.

    Friday:  SW @ 15 in the morning.  S @ 25/40 in the afternoon.

  • John's Weather Journal February 12

    We start the work week with another cold day, but it’s a little easier to take knowing that our temps are going to ‘bump up’ through the middle of the week. 

    The wind starts to pick up overnight into Tuesday as the temp warms from a low of -23 to about -17 for the morning rush hour. Into the afternoon, winds are gusting to 60km/h out of the south as the temp soars to -5. 

    Wednesday is even milder at -2 in the afternoon but winds shift to the northwest as the cold front (very cold front) pushes through. 

    Expect some light snow along the front as winds go northwest and temps drop into the evening. 

    By Thursday morning, we are back into the mid minus 20s and back into the sunny and cold weather for a couple of days. 

    Updated 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Monday:  SW @ 20/25 this afternoon. 

    Tuesday: S @ 30 in the morning.   S @ 40/60 in the afternoon. 

    Wednesday: SW @ 20 in the morning.  NW @ 20/25 in the afternoon.

    Thursday: NW @ 30/40 in the morning.  W @ 20/30 in the afternoon.

  • John's Weather Journal February 9

    The colder than normal weather pattern persists over much of the eastern prairies. If you like sunshine though, you love this day. Expect a breezy -15 for a high this afternoon in Winnipeg. 

    All across the south, we can expect highs in the mid minus teens. 

    In the far northeast, a blizzard warning is in effect for the Hudson Bay coast including Churchill. Conditions are deteriorating and won’t start to improve until much later in the day. 

     

    Blizzard Warning for Hudson Bay Coast
     

    There is a slight moderation for the weekend with highs of -12 on Saturday and -13 on Sunday. The upper ridge isn’t quite making this far east which would help moderate those temps a little more for the weekend. 

    It’s also very dry. I don’t see any big snowfalls for the next couple of days but we’ll likely see some scattered flurries in the southeast on Saturday night into Sunday, followed by a cloudy and windy afternoon on Sunday. 

    The next chance for snow after that is on Wednesday. I’m tracking a developing clipper that looks like it will hit the southernmost part of the province with a few centimetres. I’ll watch that one carefully early in the week. 

    Updated 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Friday:  SW @ 25/30 this afternoon. 

    Saturday: SW @ 10 in the morning.   SW @ 20/30 in the afternoon. 

    Sunday: NW @ 20/25 in the morning.  NW @ 30/40 in the afternoon.

    Monday: S @ 10 in the morning.  SW @ 20/30 in the afternoon.

     
  • John's Weather Journal February 8th

    The colder than normal weather pattern persists over much of the eastern prairies. If you like sunshine though, you love this weather. 

    In the far northeast, extreme cold warnings have been replaced by a blizzard warning for the Hudson Bay coast including Churchill. Conditions will deteriorate tonight into Friday with blizzard conditions expected to last through the day.

    Here in the south, daytime highs will struggle to warm past the mid minus teens on Thursday and Friday. 

    There is a slight moderation for the weekend with highs of -11 on Saturday and -13 on Sunday. The upper ridge isn’t quite making this far east which would help moderate those temps a little more for the weekend. 

    It’s also very dry. I don’t see any big snowfalls for the next couple of day but we could see some flurries in the southeast on Saturday night into Sunday, followed by a cloudy and windy afternoon on Sunday. 

    Then, a few more flurries later on Monday. 

    Updated 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Thursday:  NW @ 10 this afternoon. 

    Friday: SW @ 15 in the morning.   SW @ 25/30 in the afternoon. 

    Saturday: SW @ 10 in the morning.  SW @ 20/30 in the afternoon.

    Sunday: W @ 20 in the morning.  NW @ 30/50 in the afternoon.

  •  

    John's Weather Journal February 6

    Here in the south, daytime highs will struggle to warm past the mid minus teens as we make it through the work week. At least the wind isn’t as strong today as it was Monday.

    After today, get the sunglasses ready and keep them with you. Bright skies here in the south Wednesday through Friday. 

    There is a slight moderation for the weekend with highs of -13 on Saturday and -9 on Sunday. 

    It’s also very dry. I don’t see any big snowfalls for this week or through the weekend. 

     

    Updated 7-Day Forecast
    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Tuesday:  SW @ 15/20 this afternoon. 

    Wednesday: SW @ 10 in the morning.   SW @ 15/20 in the afternoon. 

    Thursday: NW @ 10 in the morning.  NW @ 20/25 in the afternoon.

    Friday: SW @ 10 in the morning.  SW @ 20/30 in the afternoon.

  • John's Weather Journal February 5

    We are in for the long haul as far as the chillier than normal temps are concerned. It’s even colder in the north but the only spots as of 1pm Monday with an Extreme Cold Warning in place are Gillam and Shamattawa. 

    Here in the south, daytime highs will struggle to warm past the mid minus teens as make it through the work week. 

    There is a slight moderation for the weekend with high of -13 on Saturday and -9 on Sunday. 

    It’s also very dry. I don’t see any big snowfalls for this week or through the weekend. 

    Updated 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Monday:  NW @ 30/40 this afternoon. 

    Tuesday: SW @ 10/15 in the morning.   SW @ 10/20 in the afternoon. 

    Wednesday: W @ 10 in the morning.  W @ 20/25 in the afternoon.

    Thursday: NW @ 10 in the morning.  NW @ 20 in the afternoon.

  •  

    John's Weather Journal February 2

    Well, it’s Groundhog Day and the messages are mixed. Winnipeg Wyn is predicting at least six more weeks of winter. Manitoba Merv, a puppet, apparently indicates we’ll have an early spring, but it’s a puppet!  

    I choose to trust the science instead of the rodent when it comes to long term weather prediction, and the science is saying 6 more weeks of winter. 

    This light snow across the south this morning won’t add up to very much at all. Expect a dusting to a centimetre at the most. It’s making roads and highways a little greasy though.

    I’m watching another low that will spread some snow though North Dakota Friday night into Saturday morning. Originally, it looked like it would stay to the south of the border. That has changed in the forecast models. 

    The southwest will pick up a few cms on Saturday morning and that band of snow may travel far enough north to hit Winnipeg, but about a 40% chance at this point. 

    That system quickly slumps southward in the afternoon so expect sunshine for the second half of the day. It’ll be cold though. Highs will struggle to get past -21 or so. 

    Sunday is milder at -16 but the winds get gusty in the afternoon, west 30 to 50km/h. There is also a chance of a flurry on Sunday afternoon. 

    As we head through the next work week, our weather looks quiet but chilly. Lows will be into the mid minus 20s and highs will be in the mid minus teens right through the week. 

    Updated 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Friday:  NW @ 10 this afternoon. 

    Saturday: NE @ 20 in the morning.   NW @ 20/30 in the afternoon. 

    Sunday: SW @ 20/25 in the morning.  W @ 30/50 in the afternoon.

    Monday: W @ 10 in the morning.  NW @ 20/25 in the afternoon.

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