John Sauder weather blog Live

John Sauder, CBC's meteorologist in Manitoba, keeps track of weather moving across the province.

    John's Weather Journal February 28

    You will want to get outside sometime over the next couple of days. There is a change on the way. 

    Daytime highs will approach the freezing mark, or even sneak above zero a couple of times as we approach the weekend.

    Then, it gets interesting.  

    I’m tracking a snowy system that should hit us on Saturday and stall over the region for the rest of the weekend and into early next week.

    It’s a low pressure system that forms to the southwest, starting as a Montana low and tapping into some more moisture from a Colorado low. 

    It’ll be interesting to see how this forms and if it will be a true Colorado Low and if it will track into Manitoba or east into southern Ontario.  

    Either way, it does look we are in for some snow and some wind this weekend and early next week, starting mid day Saturday and lasting into Sunday and Monday.  

    Temperatures as all of this happens will be close to, or slightly above, the freezing mark so expect the snow to be wet and slushy.  

    Updated 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Wednesday:  S @ 20 this afternoon. 

    Thursday: Light Wind in the morning.   S @ 10/15 in the afternoon. 

    Friday:  SE @ 15/20 in the morning.  E @ 20/30 in the afternoon.

    Saturday:  SE @ 20/30 in the morning.  S @ 10/15 in the afternoon.

    12 hour snowfall total (QPF) up to Sat. night. GFS Model

    John's Weather Journal February 27

    The main story this week is the milder weather and how it will stick around through this week and into the weekend.

    Daytime highs will sneak above zero a few times this week. 

    I’m tracking a snowy system though and it times out for the middle of the weekend. 

    It’s a low pressure system that forms around Montana, moving up into southern Manitoba for Saturday afternoon and evening. 

    Some of the forecast guidance has the low splitting up and grabbing more moisture from the south on into Sunday. 

    It’ll be interesting to see how this forms and if it will be a true Colorado Low and if it will track into Manitoba or east into southern Ontario.  

    Either way, it does look we are in for some snow and some wind this weekend, most likely Saturday night into Sunday. 

    12 hour snowfall total up to Sat. night (QPF).  GFS Model
     

    In the meantime, enjoy the milder temps. 

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Tuesday:  S @ 20 this afternoon. 

    Wednesday: S @ 20 in the morning.   SW @ 10/15 in the afternoon. 

    Thursday:  Light Wind in the morning.  SE @ 10 in the afternoon.

    Friday:  SE @ 20/30 in the morning.  E @ 20/25 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal February 26

    Don’t bother washing the car and find a deal on washer fluid! 

    The main story this week is the milder weather and how it will stick around through this week and into the weekend.

    Daytime highs will sneak above zero a few times this week including today at +1. 

    I’m tracking a snowy system though and it times out for the middle of the weekend. 

    It’s a low pressure system that forms around Montana, moving up into southern Manitoba for Saturday afternoon and evening. 

    Some of the forecast guidance has the low splitting up and grabbing more moisture from the south on into Sunday. 

    It’ll be interesting to see how this forms and if it will be a true Colorado Low and if it will track into Manitoba or east into southern Ontario.  

    Either way, it does look we are in for some snow and some wind this weekend, most likely Saturday night into Sunday. 

    In the meantime, enjoy the milder temps. 

    Updated 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Monday:  S @ 15/20 this afternoon. 

    Tuesday: SW @ 10 in the morning.   S @ 20 in the afternoon. 

    Wednesday:  S @ 10 in the morning.  SW @ 10/15 in the afternoon.

    Thursday:  Light Wind in the morning.  Light Wind in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal February 23

    Friday afternoon will be a few degrees milder than Thursday afternoon but feel a lot more comfortable with lighter winds. 

    In the north, there is a weak low giving a few flurries to northern Saskatchewan and northern Manitoba today. Amounts aren’t all that impressive with 1-2cm expected through the next 12 hours. 

    In the south, this kind of weather takes us into the weekend with a couple of wrinkles in the pattern. 

    After a sunny start and some increasing cloud Saturday afternoon, there is a chance for some flurries overnight Saturday into Sunday as a weak frontal wave moves south from the Interlake. 

    We are back to a sun/cloud mix on Sunday and still mild at -4. 

    I also see a chance for some snow on Monday afternoon. That one may require a clean up of a couple of centimetres once it passes. 

    Next week looks fairly mild in the south with temps close to, or slightly higher, than the seasonal normal which is -6 degree. 

    Updated 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Friday:  W @ 10 this afternoon. 

    Saturday: S @ 20 in the morning.   S @ 30/40 in the afternoon. 

    Sunday:  SW @ 10 in the morning.  W @ 20/30 in the afternoon.

    Monday:  SE @ 10/20 in the morning.  NW @ 10 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal February 22

    We’ll be back to minus single digit highs starting today and that lasts right through the weekend. 

    I don’t see any major snow events for Manitoba over the next week but I do see the chance for a few light flurries on Saturday night into Sunday morning. 

    Then, after the weekend, a few centimetres around the Monday time frame. Forecast model guidance keeps changing on the timing of those small snow events so stay tuned on that.  

    Updated 7-Day Forecast
     

    Not so cold that we have to worry about frostbite, and not so warm that the river trail and the snow sculptures at Festival melt prematurely. 

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Thursday:  S @ 20/25 this afternoon. 

    Friday: N @ 10 in the morning.   SW @ 10/15 in the afternoon. 

    Saturday:  S @ 20 in the morning.  S @ 25/30 in the afternoon.

    Sunday:  SW @ 10/15 in the morning.  SW @ 20/25 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal February 21

    Daytime highs across the south today will still be several degrees below the seasonal normal but, knowing that we are going to warm up in the coming days makes it easier to handle. That bright sunshine also helps. 

    We'll be back to minus single digit highs starting Thursday and lasting right through the weekend. 

    Updated 7-Day Forecast
     

    I don't see any major snow events for Manitoba over the next week but I do see the chance for a few light flurries on Friday and again on Saturday afternoon. 

    Then, down the road a bit, a few centimetres around the Wednesday time frame.  

    Not so cold that we have to worry about frostbite, and not so warm that the river trail and the snow sculptures at Festival melt prematurely. 

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Wednesday:  SW @ 20/25 this afternoon. 

    Thursday: S @ 15 in the morning.   S @ 20 in the afternoon. 

    Friday:  NW @ 10/15 in the morning.  SW @ 10 in the afternoon.

    Saturday:  S @ 20 in the morning.  S @ 25/30 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal February 20

    Light snow is moving off to the southeast this afternoon as the sun returns gradually. Clear skies stick around tonight and for the next couple of days.

    The other significant part of the weather story this week is the warming temps. We’ll be back to minus single digits - even above seasonal - for the second half of the week and into the weekend. 

    The extreme cold warnings have ended in northern Manitoba as temps are generally in the mid minus teens today. It’s -22 in Churchill through the mid day. 

    The only snow I see for the south is a few light flurries Saturday night into Sunday but amounts won’t be significant. 

    Updated 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Friday:  W @ 15/20 this afternoon. 

    Saturday: SW @ 15 in the morning.   SW @ 20/25 in the afternoon. 

    Sunday:  S @ 10 in the morning.  S @ 15/20 in the afternoon.

    Monday:  W @ 10 in the morning.  SW @ 15/20 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal February 15

    What a difference 12 hours makes. We went from -5 degrees at 9:00 Wednesday night to -23.4 at 9:00 Thursday morning.

    Temps across the south today will struggle to reach -20 and the wind out of the north puts us in a 15 minute freeze time on exposed skin.  

    In the north, daytime highs today are between -23 and -29 for the most part. 

    Here’s the good news if you are one of those people who is sick and tired of the bone-chilling weather. It’s a one day cold snap in the south. 

    There is a quick recovery on the way as we get back to -8 on Friday and a windy -9 on Saturday. 

    I do see a few flurries in the mix for Friday evening and again on Saturday overnight into Sunday.

    After that, we are back into some colder weather again. Highs Sunday through Tuesday will be closer to the mid minus teens. 

    But, He Ho, at the snow sculptures won’t melt at Festival Du Voyageur which opens Friday night. 

     

    Updated 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Thursday:  NW @ 25/30 this afternoon. 

    Friday: SW @ 15 in the morning.   S @ 20/30 in the afternoon. 

    Saturday:  NW @ 20/40 in the morning.  W @ 30/50 in the afternoon.

    Sunday:  NW @ 20 in the morning.  NW @ 20 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal February 14

    If you are here in the south, today’s weather message is simply this:  “GO OUTSIDE.” 

    We’ll likely go from windshield washer fluid to extreme cold warnings in the next 18 hours. 

    A very sharp arctic front is moving out of northern Manitoba behind a low that is dropping 2-4cms of snow across the north end of the lakes.

    Temps in the south today will be quite mild at 0 to +2, but drop behind the front into the mid minus 20s tonight.  

    As of 1pm, we are at +1 at The Forks and -33 in Churchill. That’s how cold the air is to the north. 

    Winds also get strong along the frontal zone and we’ll likely see a dusting of snow into the evening hours. 

    With strong winds lasting into the morning hours, extreme cold warnings will likely be pushed farther south. 

    There is a quick recovery on the way though as we get back to -10 on Friday and -9 on Saturday. 

    After that, the long range guidance has the south in below seasonal temperatures for the remainder of the month. 

    Updated 7-Day Forecast
     

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Wednesday:  NW @ 20 this afternoon. 

    Thursday: NW @ 30/50 in the morning.   NW @ 20/30 in the afternoon. 

    Friday:  SW @ 20 in the morning.  S @ 20/30 in the afternoon.

    Saturday:  NW @ 30/40 in the morning.  NW @ 30/50 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal February 13

    The milder temps are part of the weather story today, the wind is the other part of the story. Winds are gusting over 60km/h as we warm to between -5 and -7 this afternoon.  

    There is a slight chance of a flurry this afternoon here in the upper Red River Valley followed by clearing this evening, followed by more cloud moving in again overnight.

    Wednesday is cloudy and even milder at -1 in the afternoon but winds shift to the northwest as the cold front (very cold front) pushes through. 

    Expect some light snow along the front as winds go northwest and temps drop into the evening. 

    By Thursday morning, we are back into the mid minus 20s and back into the sunny and cold weather for at least one day. Friday rebounds to -10 degrees for an afternoon high.  

    Wild Swings in Forecast Highs Next Few Days
     

    Wind Forecast for Winnipeg

    Tuesday:  S @ 40/60 this afternoon. 

    Wednesday: S @ 20/30 in the morning.   NW @ 20 in the afternoon. 

    Thursday:  NW @ 30/40 in the morning.  NW @ 25/40 in the afternoon.

    Friday:  SW @ 15 in the morning.  S @ 25/40 in the afternoon.

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