John Sauder weather blog Live

John Sauder, CBC's meteorologist in Manitoba, keeps track of weather moving across the province.

    John's Weather Journal August 12th
    Today will be the hot day of the week. Humidity also climbs as we head into the evening hours. The strong south winds this afternoon will advect the moisture into southern Manitoba ahead of a surface trough which is connecting a low in Alberta with a low in Montana. That surface trough will provide the lift needed for storms to develop tonight. I'll be watching for weather advisories from ECCC as the day progresses. We will likely have some storm activity even overnight into Thursday. 
    Thursday is rather unsettled all across the south as the low moves west to east during the day. Expect showers and storms on and off with generally 10-15mm of rain accumulation, although amounts will be locally higher where storms occur. 
    From about the Red River Valley east, we will still have a few showers on Friday morning followed by afternoon clearing. Friday is cooler at 22 degrees.
    The weekend looks fairly dry with temps only slightly off the seasonal mark. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Wednesday:  S @ 30/50  this afternoon.  
    Thursday:  SE @ 30/50 in the morning.  N @ 20/30 in the afternoon.
    Friday:   N @ 10 in the morning.  N @ 10 in the afternoon.
    Saturday:  S @ 10 in the morning. NW @ 25/30 in the afternoon. 

    John's Weather Journal August 11th

    Today is a gem across the south. Sunny, breezy and warm. Things get a lot more interesting later on Wednesday as a Montana low starts to move into southwestern Manitoba. With it, the recipe for severe weather. That nasty weather will move east later on Wednesday evening and overnight. Thursday is the cloudy day of the week with more showers and storms possible, especially late in the day. Early to tell if that weather will reach severe criteria or not. 
    We'll still have some showers around on Friday before we clear from the west but I have a chance for showers in my forecast now for Saturday afternoon. 
    Sunday will be sunny and cooler at 22 degrees. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Tuesday:  W @ 20/30  this afternoon.  
    Wednesday:  SE @ 10 in the morning.  S @ 30/50 in the afternoon.
    Thursday:   SE @ 30/40 in the morning.  W @ 10 in the afternoon.
    Friday:  SW @ 10 in the morning. W @ 15/20 in the afternoon. 
     
  • John's Weather Journal August 10th

    On the Monday evening news, we will have a full story on the aftermath of Friday's tornado in southwestern Manitoba. I'll also have a look at the radar imagery from that moment the tornado struck just south of Virden. 
    Stable start to the week with gusty winds as expected. Today and Tuesday look bright but winds are lighter Tuesday. Both days will be right around 27 degrees in the afternoon. 
    Different story in the north as an upper level low will spin cloud and showers Monday and Tuesday through areas north of the big lakes. 
    Back in the south, Wednesday is a another hot one in the low 30s and there is a chance of a shower around mid day here in the Red River Valley. That period from Wednesday through to Friday morning is the cloudier, at times rainy part of this week. I see the chance for showers or storms overnight into Thursday and again on Thursday night and Friday morning. Friday afternoon clears just in time for the weekend. .  
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Monday:  W @ 40/60  this afternoon.  
    Tuesday:  W @ 15/20 in the morning.  W @ 20/25 in the afternoon.
    Wednesday:   SE @ 20/30 in the morning.  S @ 40/60 in the afternoon.
    Thursday:  E @ 40/60 in the morning. S @ 20/30 in the afternoon. 

    John's Weather Journal August 6th

    Temps are pushing 30 degrees all across the province today with the exception of the Hudson Bay coast. A large upper level ridge is responsible for the heat. On Friday, we add the humidity and bring in a late day trough that will stir things up a bit. Most of the day will be sunny across the south, especially farther east.
    This one is worth watching as far as severe weather is concerned but the dynamics don't look all that impressive at this point. It looks like the timing is late evening for the Red River Valley, earlier for the west and overnight Friday into Saturday for areas to the east like the Whiteshell. 
    Saturday we are back to sunshine and lower dewpoint temps. 
    We could see more showers or storms on Sunday in the afternoon..Sunday is also a slightly cooler day but we warm up again next week. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Thursday:  S @ 20/25  this afternoon.  
    Friday:  S @ 15/20 in the morning.  S @ 30/40 in the afternoon.
    Saturday:   NW @ 10/20 in the morning.  SW @ 25/30 in the afternoon.
    Sunday:  SW @ 20 in the morning. SW @ 25/40 in the afternoon. 

    John's Weather Journal August 5th

    The water is on the lawn as I write because, in this journal, I won't be mentioning too much in the way of a soaking rain for the south over the next several days. 
    Expect a high of 28 degrees across much of the province (south and north) today along with lots of sunshine. Thursday is warmer and still sunny across the south. 
    Friday will bring back the 30 degree heat (31 in Wpg) and the humidity. Dewpoint temps will be pushing 20-22 degrees into the evening and that is super humid. Then, later in the evening, a cold front attached to a low in the north slices into that moisture and fires up some thunderstorms. This one is worth watching as far as severe weather is concerned. On Thursday, I'll look for the timing of the front and the potential for a warm layer aloft (capping inversion) that may inhibit the formation of big storms. 
    Saturday we are back to sunshine and lower dewpoint temps. 
    We could see more showers on Sunday in the afternoon..
    John's 7-Day Forecast
     Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Wednesday:  S @15/20  this afternoon.  
    Thursday:  S @ 10 in the morning.  S @ 20 in the afternoon.
    Friday:   SE @ 10/15 in the morning.  SE @ 30/50 in the afternoon.
    Saturday:  W @ 20/25 in the morning. W @ 30/40 in the afternoon. 
  • John's Weather Journal August 4th

    It's a fairly stable summer weather pattern this week, although today is a little different in the southwest corner of the province. I'm tracking a weak trough that is producing a line of showers that is weakening as it moves east through Brandon (as of mid day). There is a lot more cloud in the southwest than here in the Red River Valley. 
    Temps will gradually get warmer this week with daytime highs topping out at 31 on Friday. Friday may end with an evening or nocturnal thunderstorm. 
    We could also see some showers on Sunday. I will continue to keep an eye on those two systems as the week progresses. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Tuesday:  S @ 20/25  this afternoon.  
    Wednesday:  SE @ 10 in the morning.  S @ 15 in the afternoon.
    Thursday:   S @ 10/15 in the morning.  S @ 20 in the afternoon.
    Friday:  SN @ 20/25 in the morning. S @ 30/40 in the afternoon. 

    John's Weather Journal July 30

    Today will be the warm day of the week at 30 degrees. There isn't much in the way of wind to provide relief but at least the humidity isn't too high.
    Many people are commenting on what a lovely weather pattern this is but there are some dry areas of the province that need some rain. There isn't much of that over the next week but a slight chance for some moisture on Friday early in the day and again in the afternoon as a cold front moves west to east across the lower half od the province. That low will also bring some showers to the north on Thursday and Friday.
    After that system passes late Friday, a high pressure ridge over the eastern prairies clears our skies resulting in several sunny days in a row with afternoon temps in the mid twenties.  
    Pack lots of sunscreen if you are heading out for the weekend. UV rating will be very high this long weekend. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Thursday:  S @ 10  this afternoon.  
    Friday:  S @ 15/20 in the morning.  N @ 30/40 in the afternoon.
    Saturday:   N @ 15/20 in the morning.  N @ 25/30 in the afternoon.
    Sunday:   N @ 10 in the morning. N @ 20 in the afternoon. 
  • John's Weather Journal July 29

    Many people are commenting on what a lovely weather pattern this is but there are some dry areas of the province that need some rain. There isn't much of that over the next week but a slight chance for some moisture on Friday early in the day. 
    In the meantime, we have high pressure right over southern Manitoba and that accounts for the sunshine and the light winds. Expect 27 degrees on Wednesday and a high of 30 on Thursday with a light southerly wind as the high pressure centre passes to the east of the Red River Valley. 
    With that 30 degree high on Thursday, humidity levels should be fairly comfortable. It won't be a super humid day but UV ratings will be very high at 9 on the UV Index scale. 
    I am tracking a low pressure system that will move across the north on Thursday. It will bring some rain to Thompson and surrounding regions by Thursday afternoon. The cold front associated with that low drags through the south Thursday night into Friday morning. That will be our next opportunity for rain here in the south. Expect showers with a risk of a thunderstorm early on Friday before a sun/cloud mix and breezy conditions in the afternoon. 
    After that, for the August long weekend, high pressure clears our skies resulting in several sunny days in a row and afternoon temps in the mid twenties.  
    Pack lots of sunscreen if you are heading out for the weekend. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Wednesday:  Light wind  this afternoon.  
    Thursday:  S @ 10 in the morning.  S @ 10 in the afternoon.
    Friday:   S @ 15/20 in the morning.  N @ 30/40 in the afternoon.
    Saturday:   Light wind in the morning. NW @ 25/30 in the afternoon. 
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