Nice to have a light wind morning. Don't get too used to it. Winds will be gusty again this afternoon and that is the trend over the next 6 days with the exception of Saturday. 

We'll see varying amounts of cloud and sun with Thursday being generally cloudy and Friday being a little brighter. Temps will be climbing as we approach the weekend, fall off a bit on Saturday, then get mild again on Sunday. 

Let's talk about the reason for the very gusty winds on Sunday and through at least the first half of next week. A couple of low pressure centres will move across the north and into the Hudson Bay area, then sit there for several days. As high pressure tries to move in from the west, the low blocks that movement. The resulting 'squeeze play' between the high and the low tightens the pressure gradient and causes the strong winds through northern and southern Manitoba. It's kind of like squeezing wind through the buildings at Portage and Main. It has to speed up to get through that narrow area. As long as that deep low sits over Hudson Bay, we'll have gusty winds. 

On Thursday, I'm tracking the first low across the northern part of the prairies. It will bring rain at first, then a rain/snow mix to areas like Flin Flon and Thompson late Thursday and into Friday morning. That system will continue to move east on Friday. This could be the first accumulating snow of the season for Manitoba.  

 

A chilly start to October all across the province. As I write this at 1pm, we are at 5 degrees in Winnipeg. The normal high is now 14 and we'll be at around 8 degrees this afternoon. The good news is, winds are gradually dropping off. 

Expect a low slightly below zero tonight but don't expect a frost advisory from Environment Canada. As we get to this point in the fall, advisories aren't issued because frost is much more common and we expect frost more frequently. 

This cool trend will last for a few days. I'm expecting highs in the single digits on both Friday and Saturday. Expect a fair bit of cloud both days as well and some showers Friday late night and Saturday afternoon. 

Sunday gets us back to seasonal conditions with a sun/cloud mix. 

In the north, the word 'flurries' has been creeping into the forecast discussion. In Thompson though, it's only a slight chance today and it's more rain than snow starting Sunday and into early next week.  

I'm tracking a low across the Northern Territory that has an associated cold front. That front is slumping through the province today. That explains the storng northwest winds that will gust to 70 km/h at times, likely later in the day. That will create high wave action on the southeast shores of the big lakes. Water levels could rise by 5 feet. The province has issued a warning. 

As this system passes, a cooler weather pattern is with us to end off the week. Highs will be in the single digits for a few days and I'm expecting a fair bit of cloud on Friday and Saturday. We can also expect showers Friday night and occasional showers on Saturday. 

Sunday should get us back into sunny skies and slightly milder conditions. A warmer weather pattern moves in for at least the first half of next week.

A decent morning out there ahead of a windy afternoon. Winds will gust to 50 km/h from the northwest later this afternoon as we get to 18 degrees. 

I'm tracking a low across the Northern Territory that has an associated cold front. That front will start to slide southward tonight into Wednesday and change up our weather. Wednesday will be cloudy and windy with occasional showers throughout the day and into the evening. Winds will align nicely with the longer fetch of the south basins of the big lakes so lake effect showers are likely. Expect gusts to 70 km/h over the relatively warm water. Wednesday will also be cooler at 12 degrees. 

As this system passes, a cooler weather pattern is with us to end off the week. Highs will be in the single digits for a few days and I'm expecting a fair bit of cloud on Friday and Saturday.  

Sunday should get us back into sunny skies and slightly milder conditions.