John Sauder weather blog Live

John Sauder, CBC's meteorologist in Manitoba, keeps track of weather moving across the province.

  • John's Weather Journal November 3

    Well, we're having a heatwave - or at least a mild spell. Until this upper ridge starts to change its pattern, we'll be in the mild air. It looks like that will be until at least the weekend. I have bumped Friday's high up to 11 degrees with a sun/cloud mix and that is the coolest day of the work week. 
    Now, I'm going to write down some scary words so try not to be too alarmed. - Colorado Low!!  There, it's out there now. The timing and the exact track of this late weekend, early next week storm system is still uncertain. If it tracks to the west (which is what it looks like at this point) then the Red River Valley will be in the warm sector and likely get rain. The west would get the snow in that scenario. 
    If the system tracks farther south or east, the snow line would also shift east and the forecast would reflect that. The track of a Colorado can be difficult to predict more than about 2 days in advance. 
    At this point, I have snow for the western sections of the province and rain on Sunday for the Red River Valley, changing to wet snow on Monday as the system works its way to the northeast.
    Some freezing rain lingers today across parts of northern Manitoba in the wake of the snowy low that dropped 10-15cm last night. There is another low scheduled for Thursday along a similar track that may deliver another 10-20cm to that northwest section of the province. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Tuesday: W @ 10/15  this afternoon. 
    Wednesday:  S @ 10 in the morning. W @ 20/30 in the afternoon. 
    Thursday: SE @ 10 in the morning.  SW @ 20/30 in the afternoon. 
    Friday: S @ 10 in the morning.  E @ 15 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal November 2

    After that last two weeks of October, we deserve a bit of a break - and some sunshine that sticks around for a few days. That's what happening this week as the upper level ridge builds eastward and warms us up. Already at noon on Monday, some locations in western Manitoba are in the double digits. This is the same weather system that warmed parts of Alberta to 20+ degrees yesterday, although we likely won't get quite that warm this far east. We are looking at temps in the mid to upper teens through Thursday.
    There is a cool down scheduled for the weekend and a possible storm system on track for the end of the weekend but maybe we should just enjoy this last surge of mild weather and let me worry about tracking that storm system. I'll keep you posted on timing and track as it starts to form. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Monday: SW @ 10/15  this afternoon. 
    Tuesday:  SW @ 10 in the morning.  SW @ 10/15 in the afternoon. 
    Wednesday: S @ 15/20 in the morning.  SW @ 15 in the afternoon. 
    Thursday: S @ 10 in the morning.  S @ 25 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal October 29

    We won't see very much sunshine through the rest of today or the next couple of days. Temps stay on the cool side of normal as well as we get ready for the Halloween weekend. 
    Friday is a cloudy day with winds starting to get frisky in the evening. It's part of an approaching scary low pressure disturbance moving into central Manitoba for Saturday. There will be some snow falling on Saturday (Halloween) in central Manitoba but, here in the south, just showers, then flurries or snow and a whole lot of wind. The pressure gradient associated with this low is very tight. I think we have potential for winds close to warning levels on Saturday afternoon and evening. It'll be a northwest wind gusting to 70 km/h or higher. Some forecast models are suggesting gusts over 80 km/h. I'll keep an eye on that situation as it becomes clearer. Wind warnings are issued when winds of 90 km/h or higher are expected. I think we'll see at least a Special Weather Statement from Environment Canada regarding the strong wind and how that may combine with snow to make Saturday evening a real challenge, especially in open areas. 
    Sunday starts a sunny stretch of weather, and we do warm up into next week. I have temps in the 8 to 10 degrees range for Monday through Thursday. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Thursday: S @ 20/30  this afternoon. 
    Friday:  S @ 10 in the morning.  S @ 20/40 in the afternoon. (30/50 in eve)
    Saturday: W @ 30/50 in the morning.  NW @ 40/70 in the afternoon. (gusts to 80 in eve)
    Sunday: W @ 10 in the morning.  SW @ 30/40 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal October 28

    The snowfall in Winnipeg on Tuesday was right around what I had predicted - 2cms - but another 4cms fell this morning in the city, at least according to measurements in Charleswood. Looks like that is already starting to melt as the sunshine tries to break through the low cloud cover. 
    The normal high is now 5 degrees and we won't flirt with that kind of warmth until next week. Today and tomorrow, daytime highs will be close to the freezing mark. Friday and Saturday, more like 2 or 3 degrees. 
    As temps cool tonight, there is a chance for some patchy fog to form. The higher chance is in the western part of southern Manitoba. Be aware of that in the early hours of Thursday.
    Friday is a cloudy day with winds starting to get frisky in the evening. It's part of an approaching low pressure disturbance moving into central Manitoba for Saturday. There will be some snow falling on Saturday (Halloween) in central Manitoba but, here in the south, just showers, then flurries and a whole lot of wind. The pressure gradient associated with this low is very tight. I think we have potential for winds close to warning levels on Saturday afternoon. It'll be a northwest wind gusting to 70 km/h or higher. Some forecast models are suggesting gusts over 80 km/h. I'll keep an eye on that situation as it becomes clearer. Wind warnings are issued when winds of 90 km/h or higher are expected. 
    Sunday starts a sunny stretch of weather, and we do warm up into next week. Great opportunity to get the Christmas light up. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Wednesday:  NW @ 20/30  this afternoon. 
    Thursday:  S @ 10 in the morning.  S @ 20/30 in the afternoon.
    Friday: S @ 10 in the morning.  S @ 20/30 in the afternoon. (30/50 in eve)
    Saturday: S @ 30/50 in the morning.  NW @ 40/70 in the afternoon.
  • John's Weather Journal October 27
    Today's expected snow has arrived, although it's a little earlier than I thought it would be for the Red River Valley. We'll likely pick up a couple of centimetres but the amount of snow isn't really the story. The wind will blow that snow around for a while this afternoon until temps start to rise. As of noon, visibility at YWG was about 1 km.  I'm already seeing an early afternoon transition to a rain/snow mix in western sections of the province where temps are rising.  
    As the warm front approaches, temps will continue to rise into the evening. For example, our high temp today in Winnipeg is +2 but that won't likely happen until later this evening. 
    The warm up I've been talking about is a little slow to the party. The rest of this week actually looks a little unsettled with a fair amount of cloud on Friday and Saturday and very windy conditions on Saturday (Halloween) especially early in the day. Expect temps up around 3 or 4 degrees on Friday and Saturday so I don't think we will have a 'white' Halloween,  and that IS statistically normal for southern Manitoba. The normal date for the ground to turn white and stay that way until March in November 15th.
    Sunday starts a sunny and much warmer stretch of weather. Great opportunity to get the Christmas light up. 
    Ste Agathe Highway Webcam at noon Tuesday
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Tuesday:  SW @ 30/50  this afternoon. 
    Wednesday:  NW @ 15 in the morning.  N @ 20/30 in the afternoon.
    Thursday: SE @ 10 in the morning.  S @ 20/25 in the afternoon.
    Friday: E @ 10 in the morning.  SE @ 20/30 in the afternoon.
  • John's Weather Journal October 26

    I am expecting to see a lot more sunshine this afternoon but our temps remain on the chilly side of seasonal normal, which is now 6 degrees for Winnipeg. We'll hover around -2 today in Winnipeg.
    The focus today and Tuesday is on a low pressure system that will track across the province on Tuesday. It will bring some snow to the region on Tuesday afternoon and some warmer air to the region in the days to follow. 
    The snow on Tuesday arrives along a warm front and winds will gust to 50 out of the south into the evening hours as temps continue to rise. Our high temp on Tuesday will likely be in the evening at +2 as the the snow transitions to rain showers.
    Drier weather settles in on Wednesday but temps are still slightly below the seasonal normal. Friday looks mild at 7 degrees. 
    Saturday - Halloween - is above zero by a few degrees but windy. As we get into the evening hours, winds drop off. We won't have snow on the ground for Halloween and that IS statistically normal for southern Manitoba. The normal date for the ground to turn white and stay that way until March in November 15th.
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Monday:  SW @ 25/40  this afternoon. 
    Tuesday:  S @ 20/40 in the morning.  S @ 30/50 in the afternoon.
    Wednesday: W @ 30/50 in the morning.  W @ 15/30 in the afternoon.
    Thursday: W @ 10/15 in the morning.  S @ 10 in the afternoon.
  • John's Weather Journal October 22

    Today won't be a completely cloudy day in the Re River Valley. There will be a few sunny breaks or 'filtered sunshine" this afternoon. 
    All I see as far as snow is concerned going into the weekend is some occasional flurries but nothing we'll need to shovel.
    Expect a few flurries Friday afternoon and evening and then overnight into Saturday. No significant accumulation there. Then Saturday brings a sun/cloud mix with continued chilly temps over the weekend. Daytime highs both days this weekend will be just below the freezing mark.
    On Sunday, skies are cloudy with occasional flurries. Any snow that falls will likely stick because temps will stay fairly cool right through to the end of the month. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Wind Forecast For Winnipeg:
    Thursday:  W @ 10  this afternoon. 
    Friday:  Light wind in the morning.  N @ 10 in the afternoon.
    Saturday: NW @ 10/20 in the morning.  NW @ 15/25 in the afternoon.
    Sunday: W @ 10 in the morning.  NW @ 10 in the afternoon.
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