John Sauder weather blog Live

John Sauder, CBC's meteorologist in Manitoba, keeps track of weather moving across the province.

  • John's Weather Journal November 30

    Well, I guess there is some good news and some not so good news in this week's forecast, but it depends on your perspective. 
    If you are hoping for more snow to perhaps get some winter activities like cross country skiing happening, well I don't have much of that for you. On the other hand, many of us are looking for things to do, like walk or go for a day hike, and our weather this week cooperates nicely. 
    Daytime highs will be within a few degrees of seasonal, even slightly above, for the entire week. There is also lots of sunshine in store. The cloudiest part of the week is Tuesday night and the first half of Wednesday. 
    November will be remembered as relatively mild and very dry. We should have more snow by now. 
    The forecast discussions for the upcoming winter take into account that we are in a La Nina year. For the eastern prairies, that generally points to a cold winter with a normal amount of snow. Meteorological winter is defined as the three month period of Dec, Jan, and Feb. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Monday: S @ 30/50 this afternoon.  
    Tuesday:  S @ 15/20 in the morning. NW @ 20/30 in the evening. 
    Wednesday: NW @ 20/30 in the morning.  NW @ 20/30 in the afternoon. 
    Thursday: W @ 10/15 in the morning.  SW @ 10 in the afternoon.
     
  • John's Weather Journal November 26

    The sun is shining as expected this morning and that means temps are on the rise, above the freezing mark today. The only feature to note in our weather today is the chance for some wet flurries late this afternoon changing to flurries this evening. Winds also get rather gusty this evening from the west. The wind drops off overnight. The reason we'll have wet flurries instead of rain showers is the fact that we won't have a deep layer of warm air aloft, just a shallow layer of above freezing air at the surface. So, it's all snow above us, melting slightly before it contacts the surface. If we had warm air aloft, and below freezing air at the surface, then there is a risk of freezing rain. 
    Friday brings some sun mixed with cloudy periods and temps on the mild side of zero again. Then the weekend is a split between a mild day and a cold and windy day. 
    This is the sharp turn toward colder weather I've been talking about for Saturday night into Sunday. Expect very windy conditions overnight Saturday and early on Sunday and a few leftover flurries in the morning. Sunday's winds remain rather strong and the afternoon high is colder, but really, just closer to the seasonal normal. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Thursday: SW @ 20/30 this afternoon. W @ 30/50 this evening. 
    Friday:  S @ 15 in the morning. SW @ 20 in the evening. 
    Saturday: SW @ 10 in the morning.  W @ 30/40 in the afternoon. NW @ 40/70 overnight. 
    Sunday: NW @ 40/60 in the morning.  NW @ 30/50 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal November 25

    The noon temperature reading is -5 at YWG. With a wind gusting to 50 km/h, it's feeling a little raw out there. If we get to my +1 forecast, high, it'll be later this afternoon and we'll have to claw and scrape our way there. Perhaps the gusty south winds will transport the milder air into the province from the south. 
    I was hopeful for a few sunny breaks on Wednesday afternoon but my hope has turned to doubt. If temps support this, we can expect some rain showers Wednesday evening and some flurries Wednesday overnight. That is just one of a few bands of precipitation that will cross the region over the  next couple of days.. Thursday starts with at least some sunshine, but there is another band of snow moving through Thursday afternoon and evening. That will only be 1-2cm. 
    Temps will remain on the mild side through the first half of the weekend but there is a sharp turn toward colder weather on Saturday night into Sunday. That 'sharp turn' also brings very windy conditions early on Sunday and a few leftover flurries in the morning followed by clearing in the afternoon. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Wednesday: S @ 30/50 this afternoon and evening. 
    Thursday:  W @ 10 in the morning. W @ 30/50 in the evening. 
    Friday: S @ 10 in the morning.  S @ 30/40 in the afternoon. 
    Saturday: SW @ 10 in the morning.  S @ 15/20 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal November 25

    The noon temperature reading is -5 at YWG. With a wind gusting to 50 km/h, it's feeling a little raw out there. If we get to my +1 forecast, high, it'll be later this afternoon and we'll have to claw and scrape our way there. Perhaps the gusty south winds will transport the milder air into the province from the south. 
    I was hopeful for a few sunny breaks on Wednesday afternoon but my hope has turned to doubt. If temps support this, we can expect some rain showers Wednesday evening and some flurries Wednesday overnight. That is just one of a few bands of precipitation that will cross the region over the  next couple of days.. Thursday starts with at least some sunshine, but there is another band of snow moving through Thursday afternoon and evening. That will only be 1-2cm. 
    Temps will remain on the mild side through the first half of the weekend but there is a sharp turn toward colder weather on Saturday night into Sunday. That 'sharp turn' also brings very windy conditions early on Sunday and a few leftover flurries in the morning followed by clearing in the afternoon. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Wednesday: S @ 30/50 this afternoon and evening. 
    Thursday:  W @ 10 in the morning. W @ 30/50 in the evening. 
    Friday: S @ 10 in the morning.  S @ 30/40 in the afternoon. 
    Saturday: SW @ 10 in the morning.  S @ 15/20 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal November 24

    We have started the day with the light snow and freezing drizzle that was expected. Streets and sidewalks are slick. Please be careful. Not a great time to have a trip to the hospital for something that could easily be avoided. 
    As I write this, our temperature in Winnipeg is sitting at zero. That's about as high as it gets today. Expect a steady or slightly falling temperature this afternoon. Winds will veer to the northwest as well. 
    Wednesday is a milder day at +1 with some sunshine, but the cloud rolls in during the evening and we can expect some flurries Wednesday night. That is just one of a few bands of snow that will cross the region over the  next week or so. Thursday starts with sunshine, but there is another band of snow moving through Thursday afternoon and evening. 
    Temps will remain on the mild side through the first half of the weekend but there is a sharp turn toward colder weather on Saturday night into Sunday. That 'sharp turn' also brings very windy conditions early on Sunday and a few flurries in the afternoon. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Tuesday: NW @ 20/30  this evening. 
    Wednesday:  S @ 20 in the morning. S @ 30/40 in the afternoon. 
    Thursday: NW @ 15 in the morning.  NW @ 10/20 in the afternoon. 
    Friday: S @ 20 in the morning.  SW @ 30/40 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal November 23

    A nice sunny start to the work/school week. It sure feels a lot more like the season with the cover of snow on the ground. I always remind people at this time of year that the normal date for the ground to get covered in snow and stay that way until spring is November 15th. This year, it was November 19th. We will likely add 2 or 3 cms of snow to that ground cover overnight tonight. It's a quick moving low that will last into the morning hours along with a small risk of freezing drizzle. Winds also get frisky Monday evening ahead of the low. 
    The rest of the week looks mild. Daytime highs will be above seasonal from Tuesday right through Saturday. Winds get strong again on Wednesday and we could see a bit more snow on Thursday. 
    Even with some snow this week, we are on track to post the driest year on record for Winnipeg. 
    Futurecast shows the overnight snow
    Projected snowfall amounts by the GRAF Model
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Monday: SE @ 30/50  this evening. 
    Tuesday:  S @ 10 in the morning. NW @ 20/30 in the afternoon. 
    Wednesday: S @ 20 in the morning.  S @ 30/50 in the afternoon. 
    Thursday: NW @ 15 in the morning.  W @ 20/30 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal November 19

    I am expecting that snow I was talking about yesterday to arrive in the Red River Valley around supper time, so, after dark. Expect 2-3cm through the evening hours. Out west, the snow starts mid afternoon in Brandon. 
    That's about the only significant snowfall I see over the next week. The system I was hinting at for Tuesday next week isn't really showing up in the forecast guidance now. Most models have really backed off from that snow event. 
    We can expect a cooler Friday with clearing skies through the day. On the weekend, Saturday is the milder day of the two but there is a chance of flurries in the evening and again on Sunday.
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Thursday: NW @ 10/15  this afternoon. 
    Friday:  NW @ 20/30 in the morning. NW @ 10/20 in the afternoon. 
    Saturday: S @ 10/15 in the morning.  S @ 20/30 in the afternoon. 
    Sunday: NW @ 30/40 in the morning.  NW @ 15/20 in the afternoon.
  • John's Weather Journal November 18

    As expected, snow is falling across much of northern Manitoba today. We have a snowfall warning in effect for 10-15cm accumulation through Lynn Lake and down through Thompson. (See map below)
    Here in the south, it's all about the mild conditions. As of noon, Winnipeg is pushing past 2 degrees on our way to 4 this afternoon. The west may reach 6 degrees before temps go in the other direction tonight. 
    I'm still talking about some snow on Thursday afternoon and evening for southern Manitoba. Amounts will be slightly higher north of the Trans-Canada and lower to the south but the northern Red River Valley should end up with 2-3cm on the ground by Friday morning. Winds also shift to the north, bringing us a cooler and brighter day on Friday. 
    Over the weekend, we are fairly close to seasonal temps with only a slight chance of a flurry on Sunday. 
    The significant snow I have been hinting at for Tuesday/Wednesday next week is a 'wait and see' proposition at this point. There isn't a whole lot of agreement in the forecast guidance right now. I'll keep you posted. 
    Snowfall Warning across northern Manitoba Wednesday
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Wednesday: S @ 30/50, dropping to S @ 20/30  this afternoon. 
    Thursday:  NW @ 20/30 in the morning. W @ 10 in the afternoon. 
    Friday: NW @ 30/40 in the morning.  NW @ 20/30 in the afternoon. 
    Saturday: S @ 15 in the morning.  S @ 30/40 in the afternoon.
Powered by Platform for Live Reporting, Events, and Social Engagement