John Sauder weather blog Live

John Sauder, CBC's meteorologist in Manitoba, keeps track of weather moving across the province.

  • John's Weather Journal December 17

    Yesterday I used the term roller coaster to describe our weather over the next week or so. It really is going to be an up and down situation as several low pressure systems pass through the prairies. We'll see a few bands of snow, winds shifting and getting gusty at times, some blowing snow and temperatures will be all over the place, even falling during the day on Friday here in southern Manitoba. 
    The low moving in tonight has warnings attached to it. Most of the north will get 10-15cm tonight into Friday morning followed by gusty winds. It's largely a snowfall warning in the north but along the Hudson Bay coastline, a blizzard warning has been issued. 
    In the southern part of the province, winds get frisky from the south tonight as a small amount of snow moves in. Friday morning, winds shift as the cold front passes and get very strong through the middle of the day. Depending on how much and how dry the new overnight snow is, we could see blowing snow in open areas. Temps fall as skies clear so the high of -4 sounds mild, but it's misleading. It'll feel a lot colder through most of the day as the temperature falls to -9 by late afternoon. 
    Saturday gets mild again but another quick low pressure system brings snow Saturday night, and another one brings more snow Sunday night and through Monday. 
    Our temps really take a colder turn right before Christmas. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Thursday: S @ 20/30 this afternoon.  30/50 overnight.
    Friday:  SW @ 20/30 becoming NW @ 40/60 in the morning. NW @ 30/50 in the afternoon.
    Saturday: S @ 30/40 in the morning.  S @ 30/50 in the afternoon. 
    Sunday: SW @ 10 in the morning.  SW @ 15/25 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal December 16

    It's a roller coaster ride of weather over the next week or so leading up to Christmas. Temps will be up and down and, at times, during the wrong part of the day.  (reverse temperature trend)
    We warm up to -3 today and Thursday is also a mild one but our winds increase through the day on Thursday, especially into the evening hours. If Wednesday is what you call nice, Friday may be a bit naughty.
    Friday starts with snow as winds start to increase. A cold front passes early and shifts those winds to the northwest. Expect gusts to 60 km/h and some blowing snow on Friday. We can also expect a falling temperature, down to -7 in the afternoon. 
    Then we will get mild again for the weekend and on Monday but another cold cold snap moves in right before Christmas. 
    I'm also tracking some snow for Tuesday night into Wednesday. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Wednesday: S @ 15/25 this afternoon.  
    Thursday:  Light wind in the morning. SE @ 20/30 in the afternoon. (Windy overnight)
    Friday: SW @ 20/30 in the morning.  NW @ 40/60 in the afternoon. 
    Saturday: S @ 30/40 in the morning.  S @ 15 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal December 15

    As expected, we don't see much of the sun today and the light flurries will continue through the day, tonight, and for much of Wednesday. Through that entire time, we might get maybe a centimetre but that's it. It's a very light and very dry snowfall. 
    Temperatures will continue to get milder across the south this week. That starts tonight with a rising overnight temperature. We'll be right around -8 by morning and topping out at -4 Wednesday afternoon. 
    Our temps are a little cooler on Thursday and Friday but still slightly above seasonal. I do want to red flag Friday though. I'm expecting more snow - perhaps a couple of cms. I'm also expecting winds to shift to the northwest and gust to 60 km/h in the afternoon. The new, light, fluffy snow will blow around and reduce visibility in open areas. I'll keep track of the watches and warnings as that system develops. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Tuesday: SE @ 10/20 this afternoon.  
    Wednesday:  S @ 20 in the morning. S @ 10 in the afternoon. 
    Thursday: Light wind in the morning.  S @ 20/30 in the afternoon. 
    Friday: S @ 20/40 in the morning.  NW @ 40/60 in the afternoon.
  • John's Weather Journal December 14

    Remember last week when I was saying that  'good old fashioned prairie reality check' was on the way. Well, it feels very 'real' out there this afternoon. Nice to see the bright sunshine though. That sunny sky turns to cloud later today and we can expect another period of flurries or light snow overnight. This will only amount to a trace to 1cm. 
    This cold snap gradually turns to above seasonal again by mid week. We get even milder by Thursday. As far as snow is concerned, it seems we'll be in for a centimetre or so every couple of of days, but no major dumps in the next week. 
    And if you it's a little chilly here in the south today, the high temp in Churchill today is -27 degrees. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Monday: S @ 10 this afternoon.  
    Tuesday:  S @ 15/20 in the morning. S @ 10/15 in the afternoon. 
    Wednesday: S @ 20 in the morning.  S @ 10 in the afternoon. 
    Thursday: S @ 15 in the morning.  S @ 30/40 in the afternoon.
     
  • John's Weather Journal December 10

    Very late in the game, as far as the forecast guidance is concerned,  it was looking like yesterday's event was going to be more rain than snow. The GRAF model I showed on the 6pm news forecast 6mm of rain for Winnipeg with 1cm of snow. We received no snow and 4mm of rain. Higher amounts of rain fell to the south, upwards of 10mm. Rain in December is pretty rare. That was the most rain we've seen here since 1987.
    Snow lovers don't have much to look forward to in the near future. I see potential for some flurries on Sunday and again around this time next week. 
    The bigger story is the cool down that is on the way. I call this a prairie reality check. The EC prediction for Mon - Wed next week is a little on the cool side. I think we will be right around -9 to -12 for daytime highs Mon - Wed which is much closer to the seasonal normal. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Thursday: NW @ 20/30 this afternoon.  
    Friday:  Calm in the morning. Calm in the afternoon. 
    Saturday: NE @ 10 in the morning.  NE @ 10 in the afternoon. 
    Sunday: S @ 20/30 in the morning.  SW @ 20/30 in the afternoon.
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