John Sauder weather blog Live

John Sauder, CBC's meteorologist in Manitoba, keeps track of weather moving across the province.

    John's Weather Journal January 6

    I've been talking about a cool down for next week and each time I look at the updated longe range guidance, that cool down gets moved later and later. It now seems like this milder than usual weather will take us, not only through the weekend, but well into next week. 
    We do have a weak system bringing a few centimetres of snow across the north today, but none of that in the south. There is a chance for some flurries Thursday night and Friday morning associated with a weak system moving west to east across southern Manitoba. No real accumulation expected there. 
    Temps over the weekend will continue to be 10 degrees above the seasonal normal and we will be dry under a surface high pressure. 
    Looking for snow? The long range guidance (at least right now) points to some snow coming out of a clipper late next week. I'll keep you posted on that. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Wednesday: S @ 15/20 this afternoon.  
    Thursday:  S @ 20/40 in the morning.  S @ 20/40 in the afternoon.
    Friday: Light wind in the morning.  Light wind in the afternoon.
    Saturday: N @ 10 in the morning.  W @ 10 in the afternoon.
  • John's Weather Journal January 5

    The fog overnight did reduce visibility in some parts of the south. At the airport in Winnipeg, visibility stayed above 5km although there was frost on some of the trees and I did see very low clouds in the south end of the city. 
    Our milder than usual trend continues through this week although today is a little cooler than Monday. We should see a high near -3 today. That is 10 degrees warmer than normal. 
    Expect clouds to build tonight as a quick moving low cuts across the central part of the province. That one brings a few centimetres of snow to the north tonight but nothing to the south. 
    Cloud gradually clears on Wednesday but is back in on Thursday later in the afternoon. There is a chance for some evening flurries on Thursday, and more flurries on Friday. Again, not much accumulation with that snowfall. 
    Our pattern gradually shifts back to something closer to seasonal by mid next week but it is still a very dry forecast for the southern part of the province. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Tuesday: SE @ 20 this afternoon.  
    Wednesday:  S @ 10 in the morning.  S @ 15/20 in the afternoon.
    Thursday: S @ 20/30 in the morning.  S @ 25/40 in the afternoon.
    Friday: SE @ 10/20 in the morning.  E @ 10 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal January 4

    Happy new year to all of the readers of this blog.
    I want to start with the data showing 2020 as the driest year on record in Winnipeg.  Based on airport data, we received 284.5mm of precipitation in 2020. The previous driest year was 1961 with 320.9mm.  If you look at CoCoRaHS data from Transcona and from sites near the airport, the 2020 measurements were much higher. So, this will offiaiclly go down as the dreist year, but realistically, it likely wasn't. 
    It certainly is a mild start to the new year. We actually set a record high temperature for today with a 3.4 degree reading at YWG just after midnight this morning. We'll likely hover around +1 through the day. 
    With fairly clear skies tonight and rapid cooling, we have a strong risk of fog overnight into Tuesday morning. That is right across southern Manitoba. 
    The normal high for this time of year is -13. We won't see anything even close to that through the next week. It's also dry. I only have a slight chance of flurries in my forecast on Friday.  
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Thursday: W @ 20/30 this afternoon.  
    Friday:  SE @ 10/20 in the morning.  SE @ 20 in the afternoon.
    Saturday: S @ 15/20 in the morning.  S @ 20/30 in the afternoon.
    Sunday: S @ 30/50 in the morning.  S @ 30/40 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal December 23

    For those who think the snowstorm was a big miss, well, it certainly wasn't as much snow as we expected but highways are just this morning opening up again after closing last night. There was only a few centimetres here in Winnipeg. The amounts to the north were higher based on radar returns yesterday. It's very difficult to accurately measure snowfall when winds are that strong. Maybe a bit of a miss for Winnipeg, but certainly not in the western part of the province and through the Interlake. Also to the southern end of the Red River Valley. That's where a Blizzard Warning was issued last night. 
    As of 1pm today (Wednesday) we still have a Blizzard warning in effect for the Morden region and blowing snow advisories in effect for Portage La Prairie and Steinbach regions. 
    The wind stays fairly strong through the day today as temps go nowhere but down slightly. We'll have a sniff at -30 overnight tonight and a cold, but calmer, day on Thursday, Christmas Eve. It might even feel a little better out there tomorrow than today due to the change in wind strength. 
    The north is very cold today. We have an extreme cold warning in place in the northwest. Some locations across the north will hover around -30 all day. 
    Back in the south, Thursday night into Friday morning looks cloudy across much of the south. Santa won't have an issue though. The cloud base should be high enough so that visibility during his many, many rooftop landings won't be obscured at all. We also get a break from the cold on Christmas Day. Expect a high of -7 degrees followed by a seasonal day on Saturday. 
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Wednesday: NW @ 30/50 this afternoon.  
    Thursday:  NW @ 10/15 in the morning.  S @ 10 in the afternoon.
    Friday: S @ 10 in the morning.  W @ 10 in the afternoon.
    Saturday: NW @ 15 in the morning.  NW @ 20/25 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal December 22

    We have a real winter variety of warnings and advisories in effect as I write in the early afternoon on Tuesday. Here's a look: 
    Winter Storm Warning. Blizzard Warning and Blowing Snow Advisory
    It's snowing lightly in the Winnipeg area. The first band of snow has passed but the snow will intensify again later along with the gusty winds.
    Snowfall amounts: higher north of the Trans-Canada highway, upwards of 15-25cm.  In Winnipeg and south of that line:  10-15cm by Wednesday morning.  Then, in the parklands region where upsloping will occur due to the easterly winds, more like 30cms. 
    It's not just about the south though. Winds will create hazardous conditions on highways starting tonight. Overnight winds will be gusting at 70 to 80 km/h in some parts of the south. 
    Wednesday, we clear from west to east but winds stay strong so visibility will still be poor in open areas due to blowing snow. 
    What follows this storm is very cold weather for Christmas Eve. Our high temp in Winnipeg on Christmas eve is in the -20s. Temps will be close to seasonal for Christmas Day.
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Tuesday: E @ 30/40 this afternoon. NE @ 30/50 in the evening.  N @ 40/70 overnight. 
    Wednesday:  NW @ 40/60 i n the morning.  N @ 30/50 in the afternoon.
    Thursday: N @ 10/20 in the morning.  SW @ 10 in the afternoon.
    Friday: S @ 10 in the morning.  N @ 10 in the afternoon.

    John's Weather Journal December 21

    The Winter Solstice occurred today at 4:02 AM. That indicates the start of astronomical winter. Some would say, the snow we received last night was really the better indicator of the start of winter. Across the south, that clipper was an over- achiever delivering between 10-15cm to the southern part of the province. Now, we get ready for the next one, and you won't have to wait long. 
    A Winter Storm Warning is in effect for all of the south as a storm system from the Dakotas is set to hit on Tuesday and Tuesday night. 
    This next system has more moisture and way more in the way of wind. We can expect 15-25cm of snow along with strengthening winds into the evening hours on Tuesday. Winds will be out of the northeast gusting to 50 by evening. North winds will gust to 70 km/h overnight into Wednesday. Winds stay strong Wednesday so, even as skies clear, visibility will be reduced with blowing snow. 
    The Winter Storm Watch was upgraded to a Warning this afternoon as expected. We may even see a Blizzard Warning issued if visibility in blowing snow is expected to be 400 metres or less for at least 4 hours. Remember, we don't even have to have snow falling to have a Blizzard Warning issued. It's more about the visibility. 
    What follows this storm is very cold weather for the Christmas holiday. Our high temp in Winnipeg on Christmas eve is in the -20s. Temps will be close to seasonal for Christmas Day.
    GRAF model guidance on the next round of snow. 25cm possible by Wed Morning
    John's 7-Day Forecast
    Monday: W @ 10/20 this afternoon. 
    Tuesday:  SE @ 15/20 i n the morning.  E @ 30/40 in the afternoon. NE @ 30/50 in the evening.  N @ 50/70 overnight. 
    Wednesday: NW @ 40/60 in the morning.  NW @ 40/60 in the afternoon. 
    Thursday: NW @ 20 in the morning.  NW @ 10/20 in the afternoon.
Powered by Platform for Live Reporting, Events, and Social Engagement